The Prediction Trade-logo

The Prediction Trade

News & Politics Podcasts

If you can bet on it, you can bet we’ll talk about it on The Prediction Trade! Whether it’s sports, politics, financial markets, weather, the economy or pop culture, you’re only a few clicks away from placing legal wagers on all sorts of events and outcomes. The Prediction Trade lives at the intersection of probability, prediction and profit. We take a stats- and facts-based approach to wagering and trading in the prediction markets. Each episode features pros from the prediction trade: gamblers, traders, investors, data freaks, probability geeks and super-forecasters. We also introduce experts with proprietary forecasting models and insights into the outcomes of prediction market events. Whether you live to bet or bet to live, join us for the next episode of The Prediction Trade. Brought to you by the editorial team behind the award-winning Luckbox magazine.

If you can bet on it, you can bet we’ll talk about it on The Prediction Trade! Whether it’s sports, politics, financial markets, weather, the economy or pop culture, you’re only a few clicks away from placing legal wagers on all sorts of events and outcomes. The Prediction Trade lives at the intersection of probability, prediction and profit. We take a stats- and facts-based approach to wagering and trading in the prediction markets. Each episode features pros from the prediction trade: gamblers, traders, investors, data freaks, probability geeks and super-forecasters. We also introduce experts with proprietary forecasting models and insights into the outcomes of prediction market events. Whether you live to bet or bet to live, join us for the next episode of The Prediction Trade. Brought to you by the editorial team behind the award-winning Luckbox magazine.

Location:

United States

Description:

If you can bet on it, you can bet we’ll talk about it on The Prediction Trade! Whether it’s sports, politics, financial markets, weather, the economy or pop culture, you’re only a few clicks away from placing legal wagers on all sorts of events and outcomes. The Prediction Trade lives at the intersection of probability, prediction and profit. We take a stats- and facts-based approach to wagering and trading in the prediction markets. Each episode features pros from the prediction trade: gamblers, traders, investors, data freaks, probability geeks and super-forecasters. We also introduce experts with proprietary forecasting models and insights into the outcomes of prediction market events. Whether you live to bet or bet to live, join us for the next episode of The Prediction Trade. Brought to you by the editorial team behind the award-winning Luckbox magazine.

Language:

English

Contact:

7089547846


Episodes

Crude Oil, Gross Domestic Product, and Rates (#58)

6/30/2022
After an impressive first appearance, Victor Jones, host of tastytrade’s Jones and Friends, returns to The Prediction Trade with more markets to forecast. From mortgage rates to Fed interest rates, oil prices to gasoline prices, and the U.S. GDP, Victor makes calls in them all. Plus, he updates the market calls he made in his previous appearance. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT...

Duration:00:40:29

Voting Blocs and October Shocks (#57)

6/23/2022
Lloyd Green knows what makes or breaks elections. Formerly serving as opposition research counsel to the ‘88 George H.W. Bush campaign, the political columnist for The Guardian and The Daily Beast joins the team at The Prediction Trade to talk about the 2022 midterms and their respective prediction markets on PredictIt. Arizona, Nevada, Florida and Georgia take center stage, but Lloyd also shares his analysis for the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee market. The Prediction Trade is...

Duration:00:58:30

Crypto, Weed, GDP & the GOP (feat. Victor Jones) (#56)

6/16/2022
Victor Jones is known for hosting tastytrade’s Jones and Friends, but he’s lending his markets and investing expertise to The Prediction Trade for this special episode. A longtime prediction market trader himself, Victor has strong opinions about a variety of topics, and he shares them all. Kalshi’s interest rates and GDP markets, and PredictIt’s House control and presidential nominee markets take center stage, and there’s plenty of lockbox and longshot trades to go around. The Prediction...

Duration:00:53:23

The US Open & the 2024 Presidential Race (#55)

6/9/2022
Politics and golf go hand-in-hand in this special episode of TPT. Professional gambler Paul Krishnamurty, of BetOnline, shares his golf-betting expertise to handicap the PGA Tour’s U.S. Open. But golf isn’t Paul’s only specialty. As a political junkie, he also shares his bets for the 2024 presidential nominees and whether or not Boris Johnson will remain in office for the rest of the year. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription:...

Duration:00:55:51

Ether, Altcoins & Student Debt Bets (#54)

5/26/2022
The crypto crash will eventually come to an end, says Iceberg Capital Group’s portfolio manager Jake Weinig. When it does, the big winners will be the coins that have innovative underlying technology. In this second installment of TPT’s crypto coverage, Jake shares which coins are in his hedge fund’s portfolio—and why crypto investors should consider buying them too. Plus, the crew makes bets in the student loan markets on Kalshi. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox...

Duration:00:50:13

Bitcoin, Biden & Oil (feat. Ryan Grace) (#53)

5/19/2022
The crypto market crash has active investors wondering what lies ahead. Buy the dip? Will the dip keep dipping? Fortunately, tastytrade’s global head of digital assets Ryan Grace has no-holds-barred answers about bitcoin, ethereum, and more—and he tells all on this episode of TPT. Ryan also wades into Kalshi’s “price of oil” market, and the crew covers two new “lockbox” trades. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription:...

Duration:00:47:21

Pro Energy Stock Picker: Tracy Shuchart (#52)

5/12/2022
Market got you down? Pro energy trader Tracy Shuchart manages a nine-figure portfolio for a family office. In this special stock pickers episode, Shuchart reveals the eight energy stocks she owns today, her forecast for the price of oil and the reason behind her positive outlook for the energy sector. The crew also looks at the PA GOP Senate race and revisits insights from pollster Robert Cahaly. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription:...

Duration:00:41:47

Derby Bets You Won’t Regret (#51)

5/4/2022
You know you want to bet on the Kentucky Derby, and you’re in luck! Veteran horse racing analyst Molly Jo Rosen sorts out the field for you, including the horse to bet on to win it all. (Spoiler: It’s not Epicenter!) Molly Jo covers how to bet and which horses to avoid in this year’s Run for the Roses. She also reveals her daily double, quinella, exacta and trifecta bets. As an added bonus, the TPT crew looks at MLB wagers, inflation trades and the Georgia GOP gubernatorial primary. The...

Duration:00:42:41

Trump, Midterms & Trafalgar (#50)

4/28/2022
The Trafalgar Group’s founder and chief pollster, Robert Cahaly, returns to The Prediction Trade to walk through the 2022 midterms. Cahaly talks about his record—a winner prediction ratio of nearly 92%—and explains how his company approaches polling differently. He shares predictions for several midterm nominations, discusses how a Trump endorsement can flip a race, and contemplates the probability of Joe Biden or Kamala Harris leading the Democratic ticket in 2024. The Prediction Trade...

Duration:01:10:13

Sosnoff, Skepticism & Psaki (#49)

4/21/2022
Tom Sosnoff is no stranger to financial markets, and on this episode of The Prediction Trade the founder and co-CEO of tastytrade shares his take on events-based prediction markets. Tom walks through a handful of markets on Kalshi and PredictIt, and he ties it all together with a surprise 2024 Democratic presidential nomination forecast. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask...

Duration:00:42:26

Palin, PredictIt & Political Wagering (#48)

4/14/2022
The co-founder of the political prediction market site PredictIt, John Phillips, joins The Prediction Trade for an exclusive interview ahead of the 2022 midterm election season. Phillips shares what technological improvements PredictIt has made, what to watch out for on the midterm campaign trail, and what he makes of Sarah Palin’s race for Alaska’s House seat. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for...

Duration:00:47:30

Biden, BA.2 & Baseball (#47)

4/7/2022
Prediction market super-trader Scott Supak joins The Prediction Trade to offer a crash course on maximizing profits in PredictIt’s and Kalshi’s presidential approval rating markets, as well as his tactics for forecasting and trading the COVID-19 markets. The show wraps up with win total over/under predictions for the upcoming Major League Baseball season. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT...

Duration:00:42:59

Kanye, Kemp & Coach K (#46)

3/31/2022
The Prediction Trade is placing bets on March Madness, the Georgia governor’s race, the 2024 presidential election and the Grammys in this jam-packed episode. Plus, economist Garrett Baldwin shares an essential tool for taking on Kalshi’s Fed interest rate markets, pointing out price discrepancies along the way. Spoiler alert: There are three Luckbox Lockbox picks throughout the episode. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription:...

Duration:00:31:42

Purdue, Populism & The Power of the Dog (#45)

3/24/2022
Season 3 of The Prediction Trade debuts with betting and trading opportunities in politics, sports and pop culture. Things kick off with handicapping the Brazilian general election, move to March Madness Final Four predictions and wrap up with a how-to for betting on this weekend’s Academy Awards. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and follow us:...

Duration:00:34:19

Be a Better Weather Bettor (#44)

9/30/2021
Want to be a wiser weather wagerer? TPT enlists Rick DiMaio, an expert meteorologist and meteorology professor, to walk through the weather markets on the Kalshi prediction market platform. Tools he shares: https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/ https://www.weather.gov/ https://www.accuweather.com/ https://foreflight.com/ The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up for the TPT newsletter, ask questions and...

Duration:00:40:54

Canadian Election Update (#43)

9/17/2021
The Prediction Trade goes back to Canada with Toronto-based public affairs consultant, political commentator, writer and speaker Tasha Kheiriddin. After successfully forecasting that Canada would hold a national election in 2021, Tasha shares her calls for the number of Liberal and Conservative seats in Parliament, as well as who she thinks will come out of the election as Prime Minister. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription:...

Duration:00:28:43

Kalshi: Bet on Everything (#42)

8/5/2021
There’s a new prediction game in town: Kalshi, the first federally regulated events exchange. Kalshi is now taking trades on whether it will rain in NYC, when Kanye West’s next album will drop, how many people will get vaccinated this week, and all sorts of other outcomes. Prediction market traders, investors and gamblers alike have been waiting for this moment. The Prediction Trade sits down for an exclusive interview with the market’s two founders, Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes...

Duration:00:57:03

How to Bet Tennis (and the French Open) (#41)

6/10/2021
From Tennis Betting Tidbits to The Prediction Trade, Jon Reid reveals how he bets on tennis—and his bets speak for themselves. With more than 1,300 wagers in 2020, he netted nearly 80 units with average odds of +144. But today the Canadian tennis handicapper is on TPT to talk about this year’s French Open, sharing his forecasts for the semifinal and final matchups. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription: getluckbox.com/TPT Sign up...

Duration:00:59:11

Talking Trash & Betting Mayweather-Paul (#40)

6/2/2021
When there's a first-rate sporting event, you can count on TPT to bring you the most qualified experts to handicap the betting opportunities. But what about those other sporting events? In this episode, TPT calls on Hard Factor’s Wes Shephard to weigh in on the upcoming Mayweather-Paul boxing spectacle, the Fat Boy Summer movement and crypto trading altcoins. TPT Alert: Wes rings the bell with his prop bets. Show Outline: Follow Wes Shephard on Twitter @hardfactorwes &...

Duration:00:49:17

Making Book, Motorsports Betting & Indy Picks (#39)

5/25/2021
A veteran Las Vegas oddsmaker and expert motorsports handicapper takes TPT behind the bookmaking curtain to handicap the upcoming Coca-Cola 600 and the Indy 500. Micah Roberts takes on a range of subjects including Phil Mickelson’s big payoff, Billy Walters’ big bets, how to wager on motorsports, the importance of pole positions and whether the Monaco Grand Prix is boring. The Prediction Trade is brought to you by Luckbox magazine. Get a FREE digital subscription:...

Duration:00:49:21