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Episodes

Episode 18: Making PECOTA with Jonathan Judge and Rob McQuown

2/16/2018
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We talk with Jonathan Judge (https://twitter.com/bachlaw) and Rob McQuown (https://twitter.com/Robmcquown), who oversee Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections (https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/) to get some more insight into how the projections are made, what's new this year, and of course hip hop. Sam Miller (https://twitter.com/SamMillerBB) asks how much we'd be willing to endure to play Major League Baseball...

Duration:01:16:12

Episode 17: These Are Not the Robot Umpires You're Looking For

2/1/2018
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We talk to Jeff Long (https://twitter.com/JeffLongBP), Sean O'Rourke (https://twitter.com/dj_mosfett), Wayne Boyle (https://twitter.com/PitchGrader), and Russell Carleton (https://twitter.com/pizzacutter4) about their recent Pitching Week (https://www.baseballprospectus.com/tag/pitching-week/) article about the Robot Strikezone and Robot Umpires (https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/37347/robo-strike-zone-not-simple-think/). New Power, Command, Stamina pitching metrics...

Duration:01:04:13

Episode 16: Inning(s) Eaters and Aces

1/18/2018
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Stolen Signs is back. Harry and Kendall talk about the slow offseason, collusion and ideas on how to change the economics of baseball. After a short break (14:05) they discuss new research by Duke University that looks into neurological and motor skills and how they translate to baseball production, a new smart baseball that can provide some pitch tracking and tease some new work by the stats team at Baseball Prospectus. To wrap up (32:00), a look into the state of pitching and try to talk...

Duration:00:57:45

Episode 15: Twas the Episode Before Christmas

12/22/2017
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We touch on many issues of the day as we wrap up 2017 in style. 3:10 - Marlins firesale fallout - Dan LeBatard show (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tDT-a7fh5fc) 17:05 - Bob Bowman forced out at MLBAM (https://www.wsj.com/articles/baseballs-rainmaker-forced-out-after-alleged-misconduct-1513882805) 23:38 - Shohei Ohtani ZIPS, Steamer and PECOTA projections 35:20 - The Case for Long-Form Movement...

Duration:01:42:39

Episode 14: Shohei Otani and Japanese Baseball with Ben Lindbergh and Kaz Yamazaki

12/7/2017
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We talk with Ben Lindbergh and Kaz Yamazaki about the NPB posting system, differences between the mounds, balls, culture of MLB and NPB and dig a little deeper into some of the myths about Japanese pitchers coming over to MLB. We also look into the current state of the sabermetric community in Japan. Effectively Wild Episode 1145: The Reigning-MVP Podcast (https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/effectively-wild-episode-1145-the-reigning-mvp-podcast/) Effectively Wild episode where Ben and Jeff...

Duration:01:23:44

Episode 13: Wins Above Replacement discussion with Sean Forman (bWAR), David Cameron (fWAR), Greg Matthews (openWAR), Rob McQuown and Jonathan Judge (WARP)

11/29/2017
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We welcome Sean Forman from Baseball Reference, David Cameron from FanGraphs, Greg Matthews from openWAR, Rob McQuown and Jonathan Judge from Baseball Prospectus to the show. With all the recent discussion about Wins Above Replacement statistics, we wanted to get people who create and maintain the statistics together to talk about how their respective stats are created and calculated. We talk about what replacement level is, positional adjustments, how to accurately portray confidence in...

Duration:01:02:50

Episode 12: Making Sausage and Catching Up

11/16/2017
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Harry and Kendall look back at the World Series, discuss the Cy Young awards and the BBWAA vote has lined up with BP's pitching metrics over the past few years. Next up is a preview of some new pitching statistics that the Baseball Prospectus stats team is working on and why that's proven to be a challenge. Harry gives a look into how these statistics are imagined, designed, tested, and tweaked throughout the process.

Duration:01:25:48

Episode 11: Unusual Paths to the Rotation and Everything Old is New Again with Jarrett Seidler

10/26/2017
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This week Harry and Kendall talk to Jarrett Seidler from the Baseball Prospectus Prospects team about the cyclical nature of baseball in general, and analytics specifically. Harry and Kendall also take a closer look at how pitchers end up in the bullpen and examine their route to get there. For this exercise they looked at pitchers with a debut season of > 20 IP as a reliever, and fewer starter innings than reliever innings in that year and then went on to log > 75 IP as a starter in a...

Duration:01:02:06

Episode 10: Looking back at PECOTA

10/12/2017
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We start by talking about projection systems in general, then dive into 2017 PECOTA team projections. We look to see how adding in actual playing time affects the team totals. Then we talk about individual players that out-performed and under-performed their PECOTA projections. This Week I Learned: * Harry learns that "bullpenning" is a thing, sort of, maybe, kind of. (h/t Matt Trueblood (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=32960)) * Kendall learns to make adjustments...

Duration:01:16:38

Episode 7: The Rise of the Two-Way Player

9/16/2017
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With the news of Shohei Ohtani's imminent posting from the NPB, this episode we talk with Sung Min Kim from the Sporting News about the posting system as well as a closer look at Ohtani. Harry and Kendall then discuss the precedence of two-way players in the Major Leagues and talk about what they've learned this week. Links: Frank HowardMLBAM Outs Above AverageHunter Greene's future is on the moundCan Cincinnati Reds prospect Hunter Greene be this smart and this good? Yes

Duration:01:06:29

Episode 6: Baseball and Psychology with Dan Brooks and Russell Carleton

9/8/2017
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This week Harry and Kendall welcome Dan Brooks from Brooks Baseball and Russell Carleton from Baseball Prospectus. We talk with Dan and Russell about how baseball relates to their professional field of study, psychology. Russell has a new book coming out, called "The Shift", which is available for pre-order. To steal a play from Russell's playbook, we command you to pre-order it.

Duration:01:09:58

Episode 4: Stats and Storytellers with Jonah Keri

8/25/2017
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This is the first in a new recurring series called Stats and Storytellers. We're excited to welcome Jonah Keri as our first guest. Our conversation was wide-reaching and really interesting. We talked about Jonah's recent article about the Expos mascot, Youppi, getting ejected from a game back in 1989, touched on the stats behind why he thought Tim Raines deserved to be in the Hall of Fame. Jonah reflected on his time at BP (and elsewhere), and we had a great discussion about the ins and...

Duration:01:12:03

Episode 2: DIPs, FIP, DRA and You

8/15/2017
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On Episode 2 of Stolen Signs we briefly recap SaberSeminar 2017, answer a listener email about how to learn more about baseball stats, and we have a discussion about pitching metrics with Jonathan Judge of Baseball Prospectus and Neil Weinberg of FanGraphs. You can email Kendall and Harry at stolensigns@baseballprospectus.com and follow them on Twitter @stolensigns.

Duration:01:25:11