The John Batchelor Show

SHOW 11-3-25 CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR 1895 TRINIDAD THE SHOW BEGINS IN THE DOUBTS ABOUT VENEZUELA. FIRST HOUR 9-915 Middle East Disorder, Gaza Ceasefire, and Lessons from War Reporting. Bill Roggio and Husain Haqqani address the persistent disorder in the Middle East, noting that the Gaza ceasefire ("hudna") is only a pause. Ambassador Haqqani critiques the flawed concept of pursuing a "war to end all wars," suggesting the world is a situation to endure, not solve permanently. Bill Roggio compares the current stabilization efforts to the failed attempts in Afghanistan following the Taliban's ouster, noting that key players like Hamas remain undefeated or unwilling to disarm. Both experts stress the difficulty of verifying initial reports of mass violence, urging patience and skepticism regarding premature assumptions about perpetrators or motivations. 915-930 Middle East Disorder, Gaza Ceasefire, and Lessons from War Reporting. Bill Roggio and Husain Haqqani address the persistent disorder in the Middle East, noting that the Gaza ceasefire ("hudna") is only a pause. Ambassador Haqqani critiques the flawed concept of pursuing a "war to end all wars," suggesting the world is a situation to endure, not solve permanently. Bill Roggio compares the current stabilization efforts to the failed attempts in Afghanistan following the Taliban's ouster, noting that key players like Hamas remain undefeated or unwilling to disarm. Both experts stress the difficulty of verifying initial reports of mass violence, urging patience and skepticism regarding premature assumptions about perpetrators or motivations. 930-945 Post-Ceasefire Gaza Hostages and Hezbollah Regeneration in Lebanon. David Daoud and Bill Roggio discuss how following the Gaza ceasefire, the process of returning remains of slain hostages remains delayed, which Daoud suggests Hamas uses as leverage to prevent Israel from resuming conflict and entrenching a "post-war mentality." Experts note that Hezbollah is actively regenerating its military capabilities in Lebanon, bypassing disarmament efforts. Despite continuous, targeted Israeli strikes against Hezbollah personnel, there is minimal international condemnation because the organization maintains overwhelming Shiite support and the Lebanese government fails to enforce disarmament. Plans for an international security force in Gaza remain vague. 945-1000 Post-Ceasefire Gaza Hostages and Hezbollah Regeneration in Lebanon. David Daoud and Bill Roggio discuss how following the Gaza ceasefire, the process of returning remains of slain hostages remains delayed, which Daoud suggests Hamas uses as leverage to prevent Israel from resuming conflict and entrenching a "post-war mentality." Experts note that Hezbollah is actively regenerating its military capabilities in Lebanon, bypassing disarmament efforts. Despite continuous, targeted Israeli strikes against Hezbollah personnel, there is minimal international condemnation because the organization maintains overwhelming Shiite support and the Lebanese government fails to enforce disarmament. Plans for an international security force in Gaza remain vague. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 NYC Election, Famine Propaganda, and Foreign Influence on Campus. Malcolm Hoenlein discusses the New York City mayoral election, focusing on the populist rise of candidate Zelldin Maamoun, whose anti-Israel stance and lack of economic knowledge threaten the city's large Israeli-founded tech sector. He reveals that a World Health Organization official admitted that promoting "famine" in Gaza was a deliberate communications and political pressure strategy, despite adequate food supply. Hoenlein confirms that Hezbollah is rearming and refashioning ordnance in Lebanon, forcing Israel's hand. University leaders have begun acknowledging that campus unrest was largely foreign-driven, specifically citing Iran. Indonesia is noted as a potential key player in...

UNIFIL's Failure, Hezbollah's Rebuilding, and Syria's Fragmented Future. Edmund Fitton-Brown, Ahmad Sharawi, and Bill Roggio label the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) a "spectacular failure" that allowed Hezbollah's military buildup near the Israeli border. Despite the ceasefire terms requiring demilitarization south of the Litani River, the Lebanese government is stalling. Hezbollah is actively rebuilding its infrastructure, forcing Israel to conduct targeted enforcement actions. They also discuss Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa, who is seeking international legitimacy, sanctions relief, and partners to counter ISIS, even as his state remains domestically fragmented by regional demands for separation or autonomy. 1895 BEIRUT

UNIFIL's Failure, Hezbollah's Rebuilding, and Syria's Fragmented Future. Edmund Fitton-Brown, Ahmad Sharawi, and Bill Roggio label the UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) a "spectacular failure" that allowed Hezbollah's military buildup near the Israeli border. Despite the ceasefire terms requiring demilitarization south of the Litani River, the Lebanese government is stalling. Hezbollah is actively rebuilding its infrastructure, forcing Israel to conduct targeted enforcement actions. They also discuss Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa, who is seeking international legitimacy, sanctions relief, and partners to counter ISIS, even as his state remains domestically fragmented by regional demands for separation or autonomy. 66

Iran's Contradictory Nuclear Signals and Proxy Support. Jonathan Schanzer and Bill Roggio discuss how Iran is sending contradictory messages regarding its nuclear enrichment program and negotiations, with President Pezeshkian ("the dove") threatening to restart enrichment. Schanzer explains that "reformists" like Pezeshkian serve as a calculated front to signal openness while building leverage for future talks. Iran appears willing to risk future strikes, believing it can absorb them. However, Iran's ability to significantly rebuild its air defenses is complicated by the risk of UN snapback sanctions potentially deterring Russia and China from supplying advanced systems. Sanctions relief remains a key factor in Iran's proxy support. 1890

AI Revolution, Cloud Growth, and the Virtual Cell. Brandon Weichert reports on how AI is driving massive growth in cloud computing, exemplified by Amazon's surging shares and AWS growth, reaching paces "we haven't seen since 2022." Weichert dismisses fears of an "AI crash" as fear-mongering rooted in ignorance and past market bubbles, arguing that AI is sparking new sectors and enhancing productivity across industries. He details the cutting-edge application of AI in creating a "virtual cell"—computer models that simulate cell functions to speed up drug discovery, understand disease mechanisms, and inform scientific investigation. 1951

Supreme Court, Trade Tariffs, and the Stagnant Order. Alan Tonelson discusses a Supreme Court case challenging the president's tariff powers (the "Liberation Day tariffs"), which he expects the administration to win. Tonelson cites historical deference to presidential foreign policy power and the president's authority to use other well-established tariffing measures, calling arguments against his powers "legally ignorant." The conversation also explores Michael Beckley's theory of a "stagnant order" among superpowers, leading them to act parasitically or defensively. Tonelson disagrees with the stagnation premise for the US, anticipating a major productivity boom thanks to artificial intelligence.

Supreme Court, Trade Tariffs, and the Stagnant Order. Alan Tonelson discusses a Supreme Court case challenging the president's tariff powers (the "Liberation Day tariffs"), which he expects the administration to win. Tonelson cites historical deference to presidential foreign policy power and the president's authority to use other well-established tariffing measures, calling arguments against his powers "legally ignorant." The conversation also explores Michael Beckley's theory of a "stagnant order" among superpowers, leading them to act parasitically or defensively. Tonelson disagrees with the stagnation premise for the US, anticipating a major productivity boom thanks to artificial intelligence.

Russia's New Glide Bombs and Ukraine's Battlefield Crisis at Kurakhove. John Hardie and Bill Roggio discuss how Russia has introduced new, longer-range guided glide bombs (like the UMPK and Grom-E1) that utilize cheap kits or purpose-built designs, offering a cost-effective, more survivable standoff weapon to attack critical infrastructure deep inside Ukraine. Meanwhile, the situation in the key logistics hub of Kurakhove is deteriorating, with Russian infantry infiltrating the city, disrupting crucial drone and mortar positions, and threatening to encircle remaining Ukrainian forces. Russia continues to maintain maximalist peace demands, including a ban on Ukraine joining NATO and demilitarization, resulting in the cancellation of proposed peace talks. 1917 PETER

Russia's New Glide Bombs and Ukraine's Battlefield Crisis at Kurakhove. John Hardie and Bill Roggio discuss how Russia has introduced new, longer-range guided glide bombs (like the UMPK and Grom-E1) that utilize cheap kits or purpose-built designs, offering a cost-effective, more survivable standoff weapon to attack critical infrastructure deep inside Ukraine. Meanwhile, the situation in the key logistics hub of Kurakhove is deteriorating, with Russian infantry infiltrating the city, disrupting crucial drone and mortar positions, and threatening to encircle remaining Ukrainian forces. Russia continues to maintain maximalist peace demands, including a ban on Ukraine joining NATO and demilitarization, resulting in the cancellation of proposed peace talks. 1852

US Military Buildup Near Venezuela and Opposition Support for Action. Ernesto Araújo and Alejandro Peña Esclusa discuss the unprecedented US military buildup at the former Roosevelt Roads Naval Base in Puerto Rico, interpreted as preparations for action against Venezuela. Peña Esclusa clarifies that the true Venezuelan opposition, led by María Corina Machado (who won 93% of the primary vote), supports US action against the Maduro drug cartel. Araújo asserts that this is viewed regionally as a "crusade against organized crime," not an invasion, and would be welcomed by people tired of instability. This credible threat is already pressuring Venezuelan military officials to negotiate Maduro's exiIT. 1902 CARACAS

US Military Buildup Near Venezuela and Opposition Support for Action. Ernesto Araújo and Alejandro Peña Esclusa discuss the unprecedented US military buildup at the former Roosevelt Roads Naval Base in Puerto Rico, interpreted as preparations for action against Venezuela. Peña Esclusa clarifies that the true Venezuelan opposition, led by María Corina Machado (who won 93% of the primary vote), supports US action against the Maduro drug cartel. Araújo asserts that this is viewed regionally as a "crusade against organized crime," not an invasion, and would be welcomed by people tired of instability. This credible threat is already pressuring Venezuelan military officials to negotiate Maduro's exiIT. 1902 TRINIDAD

NYC Election, Famine Propaganda, and Foreign Influence on Campus. Malcolm Hoenlein discusses the New York City mayoral election, focusing on the populist rise of candidate Zelldin Maamoun, whose anti-Israel stance and lack of economic knowledge threaten the city's large Israeli-founded tech sector. He reveals that a World Health Organization official admitted that promoting "famine" in Gaza was a deliberate communications and political pressure strategy, despite adequate food supply. Hoenlein confirms that Hezbollah is rearming and refashioning ordnance in Lebanon, forcing Israel's hand. University leaders have begun acknowledging that campus unrest was largely foreign-driven, specifically citing Iran. Indonesia is noted as a potential key player in future Abraham Accords. 1949 STORK CLUB MYRA DELL AND JOLTIN' JOE

NYC Election, Famine Propaganda, and Foreign Influence on Campus. Malcolm Hoenlein discusses the New York City mayoral election, focusing on the populist rise of candidate Zelldin Maamoun, whose anti-Israel stance and lack of economic knowledge threaten the city's large Israeli-founded tech sector. He reveals that a World Health Organization official admitted that promoting "famine" in Gaza was a deliberate communications and political pressure strategy, despite adequate food supply. Hoenlein confirms that Hezbollah is rearming and refashioning ordnance in Lebanon, forcing Israel's hand. University leaders have begun acknowledging that campus unrest was largely foreign-driven, specifically citing Iran. Indonesia is noted as a potential key player in future Abraham Accords. 1950 STORK CLUB, HITCHCOCK AND LAMOUR

Post-Ceasefire Gaza Hostages and Hezbollah Regeneration in Lebanon. David Daoud and Bill Roggio discuss how following the Gaza ceasefire, the process of returning remains of slain hostages remains delayed, which Daoud suggests Hamas uses as leverage to prevent Israel from resuming conflict and entrenching a "post-war mentality." Experts note that Hezbollah is actively regenerating its military capabilities in Lebanon, bypassing disarmament efforts. Despite continuous, targeted Israeli strikes against Hezbollah personnel, there is minimal international condemnation because the organization maintains overwhelming Shiite support and the Lebanese government fails to enforce disarmament. Plans for an international security force in Gaza remain vague. 1914 palestine

Post-Ceasefire Gaza Hostages and Hezbollah Regeneration in Lebanon. David Daoud and Bill Roggio discuss how following the Gaza ceasefire, the process of returning remains of slain hostages remains delayed, which Daoud suggests Hamas uses as leverage to prevent Israel from resuming conflict and entrenching a "post-war mentality." Experts note that Hezbollah is actively regenerating its military capabilities in Lebanon, bypassing disarmament efforts. Despite continuous, targeted Israeli strikes against Hezbollah personnel, there is minimal international condemnation because the organization maintains overwhelming Shiite support and the Lebanese government fails to enforce disarmament. Plans for an international security force in Gaza remain vague. 1910 GAZA

Middle East Disorder, Gaza Ceasefire, and Lessons from War Reporting. Bill Roggio and Husain Haqqani address the persistent disorder in the Middle East, noting that the Gaza ceasefire ("hudna") is only a pause. Ambassador Haqqani critiques the flawed concept of pursuing a "war to end all wars," suggesting the world is a situation to endure, not solve permanently. Bill Roggio compares the current stabilization efforts to the failed attempts in Afghanistan following the Taliban's ouster, noting that key players like Hamas remain undefeated or unwilling to disarm. Both experts stress the difficulty of verifying initial reports of mass violence, urging patience and skepticism regarding premature assumptions about perpetrators or motivations.

Middle East Disorder, Gaza Ceasefire, and Lessons from War Reporting. Bill Roggio and Husain Haqqani address the persistent disorder in the Middle East, noting that the Gaza ceasefire ("hudna") is only a pause. Ambassador Haqqani critiques the flawed concept of pursuing a "war to end all wars," suggesting the world is a situation to endure, not solve permanently. Bill Roggio compares the current stabilization efforts to the failed attempts in Afghanistan following the Taliban's ouster, noting that key players like Hamas remain undefeated or unwilling to disarm. Both experts stress the difficulty of verifying initial reports of mass violence, urging patience and skepticism regarding premature assumptions about perpetrators or motivations.

PREVIEW. The Possibility of a Tale of Two Gazas. David Daoud speaks with John Batchelor about Gaza, now divided with the IDF patrolling one half and Hamas controlling the other. Daoud presents the possibility of a "tale of two Gazas," one destroyed, one rebuilt. The excerpt also mentions a difficult domestic task for al-Sharaa, involving massacres and resistance from Kurds and Druze demanding separation.

PREVIEW. The Possibility of a Tale of Two Gazas. David Daoud speaks with John Batchelor about Gaza, now divided with the IDF patrolling one half and Hamas controlling the other. Daoud presents the possibility of a "tale of two Gazas," one destroyed, one rebuilt. The excerpt also mentions a difficult domestic task for al-Sharaa, involving massacres and resistance from Kurds and Druze demanding separation. V

PREVIEW. Naivety in Solving the Gaza Conflict. Husain Haqqani speaks with John Batchelor about the apparent assumption that Gaza is "solved" following a ceasefire signing in Sharm el-Sheikh. Haqqani observes naivety in American negotiators who believe they are fixing the world forever. Gaza's turmoil is noted to have persisted for at least 2,000 years, resisting efforts by historical powers like the Romans.