POLITICO Playbook Daily Briefing

As the end of former President Donald Trump’s hush money trial looms, his future has come into question. Should a jury decide to convict Trump, there are a number of different punishment options on the table. He could, of course, be sentenced to jail time. But, what would that look like? And what else could Judge Juan Merchan have the former president and presumptive GOP nominee do? National correspondent Betsy Woodruff Swan joins Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza to offer some insight. Plus, some Democrats are voicing fears about the Biden campaign’s approach to the 2024 election, and how will President Biden respond to Israel’s deadly attack on a refugee camp in Rafah? All that, and the rest of the news you need to know today.

Donald Trump held a large rally in the South Bronx in New York City last night, attended by a diverse array of people — a far cry from the typical MAGA rally crowd. National politics correspondent Meridith McGraw, who was present at the rally, tells Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza about how Trump tailored his message to the Big Apple audience. And just as interesting, she explains, is what he left unsaid. Plus, inside the U.S.’s plan for a “prominent post-war” role in Gaza, and the rest of the news you need to know today.

Today’s legislative theme is voter fraud — or “fraud,” as the case may be. The GOP House majority is gearing up for two votes today aimed at blocking non-citizens from voting — with one vote centering on the District of Columbia and the other taking effect nationwide. Democrats are steamed, both because it’s already illegal for non-citizens to vote in federal elections, and because they see in this effort the groundwork for a 2024 reprise of Trump’s “Stop the Steal” push to sow doubt about the rightful outcomes of elections. Playbook co-author Rachael Bade explains it all. Plus, what’s driving Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) to enter the fray and put himself forward as the next GOP leader? All that, plus the rest of the news you need to know today.

For the first time since 2008, the president of Kenya will make a visit today, where he is set to receive the whole nine yards of special treatment. There are a few reasons for this: Kenya is celebrating 50 years of independence, and it has become an emerging tech hub. But there is also the fact that President Biden promised to visit the country and has yet to stay true to his word. Will that cast a certain light on the whole event? Playbook co-author Eugene Daniels joins Playbook editor Mike DeBonis to weigh in. Plus, the Trump defense team rested their case yesterday, but it looks like court won’t adjourn by the end of the week after all. All that, plus the rest of the news you need to know today.

It is primary day in various states around the country. But if you ask senior political columnist and politics bureau chief Jonathan Martin, it is the race involving the Portland, Oregon, District Attorney that is the most interesting and perhaps important. In one of the most left-leaning cities in the country, the progressive DA is at risk of losing his seat amid widespread frustration over lax drug laws. Can this tell us anything about the challenges Biden will face come November? Martin walks Playbook co-author Rachael Bade through some possibilities. Plus, lawmakers on the Hill are in a frenzy over the International Criminal Court’s warrant request for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. All of that, and the rest of the news you need to know today.

After roughly a month of testimony and 19 witnesses, the end of the Trump hush money trial may draw to a close by the end of this week. The former president and current GOP frontrunner will either be charged or acquitted of falsifying business records. This week, the jury takes center stage. Plus, could Trump himself still take the stand? Legal affairs reporter Erica Orden, who has been present in the courtroom throughout the trial, walks Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza through that possibility and what else to expect this week. That, plus the rest of the news you need to know today. Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza interviews legal affairs reporter Erica Orden.

During the last presidential election cycle, Donald Trump said he would never return to Minnesota should he lose. He is slated to break that promise when he keynotes the Lincoln-Reagan dinner this evening. Moreover, Trump’s fixation on the gopher state seems not to have abated but has intensified since 2020. Does he stand any chance of winning a state with a Democratic trifecta? National political correspondent Adam Wren walks Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza through the situation. All that, and the rest of the news you need to know today. Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza interviews national political correspondent Adam Wren.

In a dizzying turn of events yesterday, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump agreed to two debates well before the election this November — one on CNN in June, and one on ABC in September. Did Democrats box Trump in, or Biden walk right into a carefully laid trap? White House bureau chief Jonathan Lemire offers Playbook co-author Rachael Bade some insights.

When Michael Cohen makes an appearance, it is hard to know whether you will be hearing from a vulgar, bombastic hater or the measured and careful man who took the stand this week. The noticeably restrained Cohen may have delivered a critical blow to his former boss when he alleged Trump specifically approved a plan to pay Stormy Daniels hush money disguised as legal payments to cover up an affair. Could this seal the former president’s fate? What else can we expect from the courtroom? Senior legal affairs corespondent Kyle Cheney joins Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza to walk through the whole situation.

Primary elections are taking place today in Maryland, Nebraska, North Carolina, and West Virginia. In Maryland, there is the ultra-competitive (and ultra-expensive) race for who will take over Ben Cardin’s Senate seat after he retires. In West Virginia, Sen. Joe Manchin’s seat is on the line. Senior campaign and elections editor and chief polling analyst Steve Shepard walks Playbook co-author Rachael Bade through the races to watch and what they can tell us about the presidential election.All that, and the rest of the news you need to know today.

All eyes today are on the Manhattan courthouse where Michael Cohen will take the stand in the hush money case against former President Donald Trump. Politico reporter Erica Orden — who has been at the courthouse since the beginning — joins Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza to break it all down. All that, and the rest of the news you need to know today.

Mike Johnson has had a big week. Most notably, he survived a long-awaited attempt by Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene to remove him as Speaker. Playbook co-authors Ryan Lizza and Rachael Bade sat down with him shortly after for nearly an hour for Playbook Deep Dive; they join Playbook Editor Mike DeBonis to discuss what they learned, what they were surprised by, and what’s next for Speaker Mike Johnson.

Last night, President Joe Biden drew a clear red line that Israel is rapidly approaching: After months of devastating military efforts, he will halt shipments of bombs and other munitions to Israel if it launches a major military invasion into the southern Gaza city of Rafah. But as Pentagon reporter Lara Seligman tells Playbook co-author Eugene Daniels, Biden’s new conditions may come too late. Plus, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s (R-Ga.) long-awaited attempt to oust House Speaker Mike Johnson goes down in flames.

President Joe Biden is betting that $1.6 trillion in climate and infrastructure money can transform America, create green jobs, out-compete China — and maybe catapult him to a second term. But according to a POLITICO analysis of public data, only a small portion of that money has been spent. Energy reporter Zack Colman joins Playbook co-author Eugene Daniels to discuss. Plus, the ongoing feud between Rep. Matt Gaetz and Kevin McCarthy, and a Florida judge indefinitely delayed former President Trump's classified document case.

On Monday, Hamas approved a ceasefire deal proposed by Egypt and Qatar. But Israel did not approve of the proposal, which national security reporter Alex Ward tells Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza is “softer” than what Israel wanted. As Israel's invasion of Rafah looms, President Biden finds himself in a bind on how to navigate the increasingly complicated situation. Plus, a look inside the meeting between Marjorie Taylor Greene and Speaker Mike Johnson. Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza interviews national security reporter Alex Ward.

Texas Democratic Congressman Henry Cuellar and his wife have been indicted on bribery charges, and Republicans are looking to squeeze the scandal for all it's worth. This comes mere months after New Jersey Congressman Bob Menendez faced a similar indictment, and the plan, Playbook co-author Rachael Bade is told, is to use the situations as proof of questionable ethics within the party. Also on the agenda this week: Marjorie Taylor Greene says she will force a vote on the motion to vacate Speaker Mike Johnson, and Republicans ramp up the offensive on campus protests. All that, plus the rest of the news you need to know today.

It’s the trial that has captured the world’s attention — and, given that it’s closed off from cameras, very few people know what the Trump hush money prosecution looks like up close. One person who does? Politico reporter Erica Orden. She’s been in the courtroom all week, and joins Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza to talk about the biggest developments — and why they matter in the short and long term. Plus, Playbook has a juicy excerpt from the new book by South Dakota Gov. (and Trump VP hopeful) Kristi Noem, and what Rep. Jerry Nadler has to say on Israel and campus protests on the Playbook Deep Dive podcast.

For the first time since the start of his criminal trial in New York, former President Donald Trump returned to the campaign trail yesterday with rallies in Wisconsin and Michigan. The Trump who showed up marked a return to form — for better or worse — but also a reminder of the unique vulnerabilities he brings to the general election (from railing against his indictments and comparing himself to Al Capone, to thanking by name the conservative justices responsible for overturning Roe). Playbook co-authors Eugene Daniels and Ryan Lizza break down the appearances and where we expect things to go from here.

The Department of Justice is poised to significantly loosen federal cannabis restrictions, reclassifying the substance from Schedule I — the most serious classification — to Schedule III. Federal cannabis policy reporter Natalie Fertig joins Playbook co-author Eugene Daniels to walk through what this means practically and politically. Plus, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene is expected to double-down on her effort to oust Speaker Mike Johnson, and Vice President Kamala Harris heads to Florida to reinforce Biden’s abortion rights message. Playbook co-author Eugene Daniels interviews Federal cannabis policy reporter Natalie Fertig.

White House reporter and West Wing Playbook author Eli Stokols has been reporting on the simmering rift between Joe Biden’s administration and the New York Times, and the White House Correspondent’s Dinner this past weekend introduced another layer. Stokols joins Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza to discuss. Plus, MTG is a no-show in the House Monday night, and the rest of the news you need to know today. Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza interviews West Wing Playbook author Eli Stokols.