
On The Market
Business & Economics Podcasts
The modern real estate investor doesn’t have time to research every headline and trend. That’s why BiggerPockets' Dave Meyer and his expert panel do it for you. Learn how to invest smarter in today’s economic environment.
Location:
United States
Description:
The modern real estate investor doesn’t have time to research every headline and trend. That’s why BiggerPockets' Dave Meyer and his expert panel do it for you. Learn how to invest smarter in today’s economic environment.
Language:
English
Episodes
Flippers Are Feeling Most Bullish in Months, Here’s Why
4/28/2026
Buyers are waiting out the market, mortgage rates are rising again, and the economy seems as unstable as ever. So why are house flippers feeling bullish about investing in 2026? A new report has surfaced showing an overwhelmingly optimistic view of flipping houses, with active flippers registering stronger bullish signals than in previous months. The question is: what are house flippers seeing in the market that we aren’t? To answer, our resident house flipping expert, James Dainard, is on to share what he’s seeing in his market, the actual profits he’s making on flips in 2026, how he’s saved bad deals and turned them into 90% profit margins (yep), and the things that will kill your returns when flipping a house in 2026. James is still making solid margins on his house flips, and he has strong opinions about why these flippers are feeling so optimistic. Plus, if you’re thinking of flipping your first house in 2026 or getting back into the game, James shares some critical advice to help you keep your costs low and make a profit even if your flip turns into a flop. In This Episode We Cover Actual profit margins that house flippers are making in 2026 How James turned a deal gone bad into a 90% return, even in a tough market A new survey showing very surprising sentiment among U.S. house flippers What James is doing right now to make higher margins with fewer flipping deals The things that will kill your house flipping profit margins New house flipper? Heed James’ advice before you start And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Flipping Houses: How to Get Started and Everything You Should Know ResiClub: What to expect from the home flipping market in 2026 and beyond Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Grab James’s Book, The House Flipping Framework Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-420. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:28:00
The Fed’s High-Stakes Power Struggle Affects Much More Than Mortgage Rates
4/23/2026
Something is brewing at the Federal Reserve, and it’s starting to get ugly. For many months, President Trump has been pressuring the Fed to lower the federal funds rate and has since named a new Fed chair nominee to take the reins after Jerome Powell's term ends. But what seemed like a straightforward transition has quickly evolved into a nasty political showdown—a “standoff” between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Senate Banking Committee. The drama could drag out for months, with Powell’s investigation being prolonged and nominee Kevin Warsh’s confirmation being delayed. But behind all of it, there’s a much more serious issue being threatened: Fed independence. The Federal Reserve’s ability to act independently of political influences is crucial for creating monetary policy in the best long-term interest of the country, and it’s being jeopardized. For investors, this isn’t just political theater—it’s a signal. If markets lose faith in the Fed’s independence, the ripple effect could reshape not just interest rates, mortgage rates, and the housing market, but the entire U.S. economy. And it’s unfolding right now. In This Episode We Cover What happens when the Federal Reserve loses its “independence” Why the current Fed power struggle affects much more than mortgage rates The “battle” that is holding up new Fed chairman Kevin Warsh’s nomination Why the Federal Reserve’s hands are tied when it comes to cutting interest rates Behind the “drama” unfolding between the Senate Banking Committee and the DOJ And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1266 – The War Has Changed the Housing Market | April 2026 Update Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-419. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:31:20
How America Could Soon Be Oversupplied with Homes
4/21/2026
For years, we’ve been promised that a “tsunami” of homes would hit the market as Baby Boomers age, move into senior housing, and pass away. We’ve been waiting…and waiting, but we’re still millions of housing units short. Yet, even without a “silver tsunami,” another trend could push us toward a housing supply glut in the future—new builds. Builder sentiment has dropped to a seven-month low. Homes are sitting empty, huge concessions are being offered, but the buyers are few and far between. Longer absorption periods mean higher holding costs for builders, prompting larger incentives to sell these homes. But, with mortgage rates bouncing back up to the mid-six percent range, who wants to buy? Very few Americans, and that’s the problem. Between Baby Boomers slowly trickling inventory into the housing market and builders creating more supply than (financeable) demand, is this the tipping point where we go from an undersupplied to an oversupplied housing market? In this headline episode, we’re getting into it, plus a “ban” on one of America’s hottest real estate assets. In This Episode We Cover Is the silver tsunami ever going to hit? Why Baby Boomer homes aren’t reaching the market Where home prices have the highest chance of falling if the Baby Boomer supply hits the market The major opportunity for real estate investors to pick up seriously discounted new-build homes A new real estate asset “ban” that’s affecting over 15 states in the country Will we flip from a housing deficit to oversupply? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 403 - You Have Until 2031: What Happens When Population Starts to Decline? Stories from Today’s Episode Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab The Book on Negotiating Real Estate Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-418. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:37:01
Housing Market Reverses Gains as Sentiment Reaches 70-Year Low
4/16/2026
This could have profound effects on the housing market, and if you work or invest in real estate, you need to know what's coming next. Energy shocks, high inflation, new job numbers, the worst consumer sentiment in 70 years…it’s all hitting us in a single week, and the housing market is already reacting. After months of affordability gains, mortgage rates jumped back to 6.4% in response to the oil price spike and, by proxy, high inflation readings. The Fed has already made the bulk of its rate cuts, so is there any room left for interest rates to go down? Home sales are already slowing, and consumers are feeling the worst about the economy in 70 years. This will impact the housing market, and it’s not good news for agents, brokers, lenders, or anyone involved in transactions. But for investors, we’re being given yet another opportunity to buy deals…and the discounts could be getting deeper. The window to act is widening even more. Here's how to position yourself before it closes. In This Episode We Cover New inflation rate readings and why the CPI rose close to 1% in just a month Mortgage rates are stuck: why they can’t fall much more, even with a new Fed chair Latest home sales data that shows how the housing market is already reacting Why more and more investors are getting pessimistic about the housing market Will home prices crash? Here’s what’s holding them stable right now What investors need to do to prepare themselves right now to get better deals And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-417. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:36:50
These High-Inventory Markets Could “Swing Up” in the Next Cycle
4/14/2026
Could today’s weak housing markets become tomorrow’s winners? One particular real estate demand “cycle” says that it’s more than possible. Everyone has written off real estate markets where inventory has risen, prices have dropped (substantially), and migration has slowed. But what happens when the pendulum swings in the other direction, and these dead markets return to life? ResiClub’s Lance Lambert joins us to get into all things supply, demand, and most importantly—inventory. According to Lance, we’re in the 25th percentile for weak housing markets, and one certain variable could increase our risk significantly, and it’s not getting much better. A “catalyst for risk” could push demand down even more, stunting already suffering housing markets. But there is hope. Domestic and international migration surged post-pandemic but has come to a standstill in the past few years. When this migration “cycle” restarts, certain states, especially those with the weakest housing markets right now, could benefit. And if mortgage rates lower again, breaking more of the “lock-in effect,” the market could change quickly. But which markets could “swing up” the fastest? In This Episode We Cover A real “catalyst for risk” that could cause an even weaker housing market The states that could see the biggest boosts once domestic and international migration return Investors: This is a sign that you should make an aggressive offer on a property Good news for interest rates? A “considerable improvement” in this key metric Why inventory is stabilizing in the hardest hit housing markets And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 413 - Real Estate Isn't as Safe From Inflation as You Think ResiClub Lance’s LinkedIn Lance’s X Grab Dave’s Book, Real Estate by the Numbers Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-416. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:32:33
Don’t Make an Offer Without Including These 10 Items (Save Thousands)
4/9/2026
Property taxes: banned. There are now more than a dozen states across the country seeking to limit, reduce, or outright eliminate property taxes—and the support behind the efforts is growing. As property taxes explode across the U.S., homeowners are facing an average 30% increase, curbing affordability efforts. As a result, Florida, North Dakota, Indiana, Texas, and other states are considering banning or heavily restricting property taxes. Today, we’re getting into the Great Property Tax Revolt of 2026. There are five types of property tax bills being proposed: assessment limitations, levy caps, homestead exemptions, credits and reductions, and tax swaps. These new property tax proposals could save homeowners thousands of dollars per year, but the side effects on local government budgets could be substantial. If we don’t have property taxes funding local services, what will? We’ll get into all of it and the top states’ proposals for eliminating or limiting property taxes. One often-overlooked state is funding its property tax elimination without any extra cost to homeowners. How will it work? And if primary homeowners get property tax breaks, will investors have to fill in the gaps with higher taxes? This is what could happen next. In This Episode We Cover Two states that could soon completely eliminate property taxes for primary residences The downside of lower (or no) property taxes: will other taxes jump as a result? What could happen to property values if your state decides to eliminate property taxes How property tax bans will affect real estate investors (will your tax bill go up or down?) Why property taxes have exploded 30% (and whether new assessments could push them higher) States with the highest (and lowest) property tax rates in 2026 And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Property Manager Finder On the Market 404 - 75,000 “Relistings” Could Hit the Market, But Inventory WON’T Explode? w/Mike Simonsen Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis: How higher property taxes increase home affordability Stories from Today’s Show: Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-415. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:44:11
Accidental Landlords Hit a High as Rising Interest Rates Freeze Buying
4/7/2026
The housing market is locked up once again before the most important time of the year—the spring homebuying season. With interest rates flying back up to the mid-6% range and inflation anxiety rearing back, Americans are once again stuck. And it’s not just first-time homebuyers; accidental landlords are hitting a new high as homes get even harder to sell. So, is the spring homebuying season… canceled? We’re back with this week’s headlines. First, we’ll start with the new job numbers—a massive increase over a very negative February. This is good news for the economy, but strong headwinds are hitting at the same time—rising mortgage rates, rising gas prices, and reignited inflation risks. It could be enough to throw off the traditionally strong spring homebuying season altogether. Accidental landlords are forming fast as they turn their flips, former primary residences, or inherited homes into rental properties. If you’re thinking about doing this—stop. James has strong cautionary advice for anyone about to become a first-time landlord. Finally, everyone is talking about data centers—do we invest in them or curb their construction? Here’s why Dave, Kathy, and James are very cautious about them. In This Episode We Cover New jobs report numbers and the strong bounce back from February 2026 Will oil prices flip us back to high inflation? What this means for mortgage rates Real-time trends on homebuyers and what we’re seeing in the market Why James says many people should not become accidental landlords and sell at a loss instead Are data centers really worth the hype? Why we’re not investing in them (yet), even with the growth of AI And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Property Manager Finder Stories from Today’s Show: Dave's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-414. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:34:03
Real Estate Isn’t as Safe From Inflation as You Think
4/2/2026
Inflation is rising again, and everywhere on social media, we’re hearing people say, “Buy real estate!” Property is supposed to be the ultimate inflation hedge. The problem? Real estate may not save you from the inflation heading our way. In fact, home prices could get worse if things continue this way. But how? For decades, we’ve been told that real estate is the ultimate inflation hedge. It’s tracked rising prices very well and has been one of the most championed “safe” assets to buy. But do real estate prices always follow the path of inflation? What happens if consumer prices rise but renters are paid less, a recession hits, nobody can pay their bills, you can’t pay your mortgage, and home prices fall? This is a reality that real estate gurus tend not to think through—the other side of inflation. Today, we’re getting into it. Which inflation benefits real estate prices the most? Which of the four possible inflation scenarios could unfold as the world tilts toward uncertainty, and which assets protect your wealth regardless of the inflation rate? In This Episode We Cover Is real estate really a good hedge against inflation? Most people assume incorrectly The two types of inflation and how they (oppositely) affect real estate prices Four future scenarios we could see if inflation rises, falls, or stays the same What’s causing rising inflation right now? An April 2026 inflation update The four ways real estate will benefit during a traditionally high-inflation period And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Center for American Progress: Trump Administration Tariffs Could Result in 450,000 Fewer New Homes Through 2030 Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-413 . Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:47:33
This Could Be the Best Real Estate "Buy" of 2026
3/31/2026
This could be the best real estate “buy” of 2026. While mortgage rates are climbing back up and everyone is waiting out the housing market—again—one man is going all in: James Dainard. If you’ve listened to On the Market for a while, you know James is never not buying—but what he’s buying changes by the week, or even by the day. Last year, James got burned (a bit) on house flipping and new development, but reassessed his almost unbeatable investing framework and is now saying there’s one particular asset class he’s hungry to acquire—and it’s on serious discount. So today, we’re picking the brain of the man with 1,000+ rental units who’s flipped thousands of homes and knows the market better than any economist, since he’s on the ground buying and selling every single day. James shares the “best buy” of 2026, the one thing you must account for if you’re flipping or doing any renovation project, the single best rental for small investors to start with (and how to find them on-market at discount), and the one high-return deal he’d do as a new real estate investor. This is what’s working in real estate right now in 2026. In This Episode We Cover The overlooked (and underpriced) properties James is heavily targeting in 2026 How to find on-market, discounted rentals perfect for small investors The “buyer psychology” changes in the market that flippers must be aware of One high-return real estate deal new investors should heavily consider in 2026 One cost to add to every renovation project to ensure you stay on budget And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 410 - The First Domino? Investors Pull Billions as Real Estate Bank Runs Return Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1100 - The Ultimate Underrated Rental Property (for Small Investors) w/Brian Burke Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-412 . Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:26:52
The $3T Problem No One in Real Estate is Paying Attention To
3/26/2026
A $3 trillion market is beginning to crack. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon has sounded off, saying there are “cockroaches” in the system. Investors are pulling billions of dollars out of the market, and real estate could be affected in a massive way. This is the private credit crisis explained. When big investors go to buy or build, they don’t always take money from a bank; instead, they get loans from the private credit market—lenders who operate outside of the traditional lending apparatus. But over the past four years, commercial real estate has seen values tank, income drop, and demand shrink for everything from office to multifamily and more. And the people who lend their money to private credit are starting to get nervous. Billions of dollars have already been pulled out of the market, with many investors going on “bank run” style withdrawal sprees. But, this isn’t only a commercial real estate problem—residential real estate could be affected if enough money leaves the systems. So what happens next? Will real estate prices fall even further as a result? Are we on the brink of a credit crisis mirroring the 2008 subprime bubble? We’re breaking it all down in this episode. In This Episode We Cover Private credit explained: who’s lending the money and what is being leveraged “Cracks” begin to form, and why investors are pulling billions of dollars out of the system Riskier commercial real estate debt that could trigger a “debt spiral” of serious proportions Why residential real estate is not completely safe if commercial real estate starts to fall further The one thing worrying experts the most about this hidden credit crisis And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 410 - The First Domino? Investors Pull Billions as Real Estate Bank Runs Return Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-411 . Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:37:30
The First Domino? Investors Pull Billions as Real Estate Bank Runs Return
3/24/2026
Investors are pulling billions of dollars (yes, billions) out of real estate investments at a record pace as “bank run” style withdrawals return. Blackstone has already seen record withdrawal requests of over $3 billion. Could this be the first domino to fall that could set off a private credit crisis, pulling multifamily prices down even more? We’re back with this week’s biggest headlines—from mortgage rates rising back to six-month highs to corporate headquarters being converted into housing—there’s almost too much to talk about happening in the housing market. First, mortgage interest rates flip as buyers get pushed back out of the market, but this could lead to even bigger discounts for investors. A lonely corporate headquarters building gets greenlit for conversion to housing. If this trend continues, we could see relief in housing supply strain. Investors pull a record amount of money from real estate investments—just as commercial real estate needs it most (this will have consequences). Finally, the “millionaire tax” makes its way through one state—and it could kill one type of real estate investing. In This Episode We Cover Investors go on a bank run—why they’re pulling billions of dollars from investments Mortgage rates boomerang back to around 6.5%, but investor deals could get even better The newest housing inventory opportunity and how to make a CEO’s office your new living room The millionaire tax is kicking profitable investors out of this popular market And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders BiggerPockets Real Estate 1207 - 2026 Mortgage Rate Predictions: This “X Factor” Could Change Everything Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile NewsTimes: 200 apartments floated at Duracell’s ‘gorgeous’ former world HQ in Bethel as workforce shrinks to 20 Ken McElroy: The Liquidity Problem No One Is Talking About Homes.com: As Washington 'millionaires tax' heads to governor, some agents see homeowners list Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-410. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:33:33
A $48T “Structural Shift” to the Housing Market is Only Just Beginning
3/19/2026
A “structural shift” is happening in the housing market—one that will permanently change how home prices appreciate. We could be experiencing the last era of steady, rising home prices as we enter into a new reality—a reality without Baby Boomers owning real estate. For years, a “silver tsunami” has been predicted to “crash” the housing market. With Baby Boomers downsizing, aging in place, and passing away, the inevitable wave of inventory was supposed to hit the housing market with fury—but it hasn’t happened, at least not yet. With the average Baby Boomer now in their 70s, surely we should start to see inventory fly on the market…right? Today, we’re getting into when (and if) the silver tsunami will hit, why the end of the Baby Boomer generation could change the home price growth trajectory permanently, and what will unfold in the 2030s (and beyond) that could cause serious headwinds in the housing market. But if it all comes true, investors will have the opportunity of a lifetime to get something many have assumed is gone—cash flow. In This Episode We Cover The “silver tsunami” explained, and why it hasn’t crashed the housing market Inheritance begins to peak—how many heirs will keep vs. sell their parents’ homes? The “structural shift” that could change home price appreciation forever Just how much of the housing market Baby Boomers own (it’s a LOT) The return of cash flow? Why real estate investors will get another opportunity to buy And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 403 - You Have Until 2031: What Happens When Population Goes Negative? On the Market 404 - 75,000 “Relistings” Could Hit the Market, But Inventory WON’T Explode? On the Market 408 - Melody Wright’s Honest Take On the “Worse Than 2008” Crash Claim Real Estate by the Numbers Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-409. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:37:25
Melody Wright’s Honest Take On the “Worse Than 2008” Crash Claim
3/17/2026
A housing price correction “worse than 2008”? That’s the headline of Melody Wright’s widely-cited Newsweek interview, but today, she’s giving her full, honest take on what she really meant. Melody got into the mortgage industry in 2006, riding the subprime wave up until it popped two years later. The lender she worked for went bankrupt in 2012, as Melody witnessed the fallout firsthand. From there, her new job became analyzing housing data to ensure this never happened again. And looking at the data—delinquencies rising, inventory spiking, a quiet “credit crisis” rarely talked about—Melody believes we could be on the verge of another serious correction. Today, we’re getting her detailed opinion on whether we should expect a housing crash, correction, or a slow, stable return to affordability. We talk at length about the rising delinquency rates (much of which is not public) signaling serious trouble for the housing market and borrowers, and the “credit crisis” brewing behind the scenes that could upend the market (especially for investors). This is what Melody Wright really thinks will happen next. In This Episode We Cover Melody’s real opinion on the “Worse Than 2008” claim Why Melody believes home prices could correct up to 50% in some markets The “credit crisis” brewing that uncovers a very weak homebuyer pool Delayed delinquency? Why more borrowers are beginning to inch closer to losing their homes The white-collar recession that will have serious effects on pricey real estate markets And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 407 - The White-Collar Recession Means More for Real Estate Than You Think Newsweek Price Correction ‘Worse Than 2008’ Coming To US Housing Market—Analyst Reuters JPMorgan marks down value of loan portfolios of some private credit groups, source says Realtor Housing Market Tilts in Favor of Buyers as Active Inventory Climbs Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-408. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:43:48
The White-Collar Recession Means More for Real Estate Than You Think
3/12/2026
The next recession is already here. You may not see it, but you definitely feel it. Companies are quietly letting go of dozens or hundreds of workers at a time, interviews are getting harder to land, and those around you who made the most money are suddenly just trying to get by. This is the “white collar recession”—and a new report could prove that it’s about to get much more severe. And what happens when the highest earners, those who buy homes and can get approved for mortgages, suddenly vanish from the housing market? The impacts could be widespread, and a permanent shift in real estate could be on the horizon. Today, we’re unpacking it all—which jobs are most (and least) at risk, what will happen to the housing market as high-income earners lose their salaries (and ability to buy homes), and the markets most reliant on these types of white-collar jobs. But it’s not all bad news. New opportunities could be emerging in select markets as a few major industries see stability, and one type of investment property becomes the most sought-after of all. In This Episode We Cover The “white collar recession” and the jobs most at risk due to AI Why this time it’s different, and a recession may be inevitable How the housing market will permanently shift as homebuyers lose their income The most stable housing markets with the best employment potential One type of investment property every investor needs to keep an eye on (demand could rise) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On The Market 401 - Off by Nearly 1 MILLION Jobs? Why New Jobs Report Will Impact Real Estate Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Anthropic Report Grab the Book, "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-407. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:40:22
The Housing Market Freezes as Americans Brace for War
3/10/2026
Could the war in Iran reverse all the interest rate relief we’ve received throughout the past year? With oil shooting up in price, unintended consequences could trickle down to your mortgage rate—and Americans are already feeling the shock. The housing market is re-freezing as buyers (and sellers!) stay on the sidelines as the world feels more and more unstable. What does this mean for your mortgage rate? Some people say this could cause a housing crash; others argue the opposite. What’s really going to happen next? We’re back with a new headline episode, going through the top stories affecting the housing market. First, we’re talking about the Iran war and its effects on mortgage rates and the housing market. Then, the states leading the 'two-speed housing market': some are seeing significant price gains, while much of America's home prices are declining. Do you use an AI calling agent in your real estate business? You need to hear this first. A new lawsuit shows you could land in hot water unless you follow the rules. In This Episode We Cover Back to rising mortgage rates? Side effects of the Iran war on the U.S. housing market The hottest markets still seeing 4%+ price growth even in 2026 AI agents lead to lawsuit: What you should not do if you’re using AI callers for real estate Why so many Americans are moving from the coast inland to these cities Is the housing market freezing again? Why buyers and sellers are backing off And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Top 10 Markets Where Prices Will Rise and Fall in 2026 Headlines from Today’s Show: Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-406. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:28:25
The Best (and Worst) Housing Markets in America (March 2026 Update)
3/5/2026
The housing market is split. Some real estate markets are seeing low inventory, rising prices, and fierce buyer competition. Others are seeing steep price cuts, desperate sellers, underwater owners, and delinquency rates creeping up. So, which housing markets are the riskiest in the country? Which market has the highest chance of seeing home price growth while the rest of America struggles for air? We’re doing a nationwide deep dive today, looking at the metrics that matter most—home price appreciation, affordability, delinquency rates and owner distress, and underwater mortgage share. Each of these data points will allow you to predict which markets will grow, slow, and struggle over the next year. Plus, Dave is sharing what each region of the country should be paying attention to as an investor, the riskiest markets of 2026, and the number one comeback city no one is expecting. In This Episode We Cover The riskiest housing markets in the U.S. that could see continued price declines Cities seeing a return to “affordability” as buyers get a big break Delinquency rates rising? Areas with these mortgage types see more owners fail to make payments The “comeback” cities that have the greatest home price growth potential Why “underwater mortgages” aren’t as scary as you think they are (but investors should still be careful) And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 369 - Zillow Forecast: Best and Worst Housing Markets of 2026 Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Start with Strategy" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-405. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:37:34
75,000 “Relistings” Could Hit the Market, But Inventory WON’T Explode?
3/3/2026
Remember all those homes that were “delisted” in the fall and winter? The homes that sellers took off the market when they couldn’t get the price they wanted? Well, now, the frozen housing market is thawing, and 75,000 “relistings” could boomerang back into the market. With a new wave of inventory, would this be the catalyst for home prices to drop even more? Compass’s Mike Simonsen, friend of the show and all-time inventory expert, is back to give a quite contrarian take on the relisting inventory about to hit the real estate market. With the spring homebuying season about to peak in just a couple of months, former sellers now get a new chance to put their properties up again, in hopes that lower mortgage rates entice buyers. The crash predictors say that this new glut of inventory could cause prices to drop as the buyer’s market becomes even more one-sided. But Mike has a key piece of data that changes the story entirely, one that could be good for the future housing market and actually give transactions a modest boost. Mike says a “new era” of real estate is upon us—and it could last a while. In This Episode We Cover The “relisting” wave of inventory that could hit the housing market this spring Why home prices may not drop even with more properties on the market A “new era” of real estate that makes it even better to buy a home Why housing inventory is falling in states with the biggest home price corrections No forced selling? The reality that kills the housing crash narrative And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 378 - The “Delisting” Wave Putting Years of Housing Market Gains at Risk Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Follow Mike on LinkedIn Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-404 . Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:30:02
You Have Until 2031: What Happens When Population Goes Negative?
2/26/2026
There’s a ticking time bomb for the U.S. housing market that nobody is talking about. It’s the biggest existential threat to home prices and housing demand, and it (arguably) can’t be stopped. The question is, how long do we have until it happens? Today, we’re talking about population: what happens when the U.S. population begins to decline, and the need for housing falls year after year? Deaths are already set to outpace births by 2031, meaning we’re just five short years away from this risky scenario becoming reality. What happens to home prices? Will millions of homes sit empty? Which markets will see their values fall the fastest? Is real estate still safe to invest in? Dave’s giving a masterclass on the population crisis, and how the housing market will be affected. From birth rates to immigration, baby boomers passing away (and passing down their houses), and cities that will face the biggest demographic headwinds, this is what every investor needs to know before 2031. In This Episode We Cover What happens to the housing market once the population begins to decline? Will our housing shortage flip to a supply glut as demand is forced to fall? The one thing propping up our population and how it’s starting to falter Short, medium, and long-term housing forecasts as population decline increases Lessons from Japan, Germany, and Italy: Where do home prices fall the fastest once populations decline? Markets that will be the safest when the population finally begins to flip And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area U.S. Immigration Crisis: What It Really Means for Housing Markets and Investors Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-403. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:43:25
Tariffs Out, Housing Bill In: Big Changes Coming for Real Estate
2/24/2026
Many of President Trump’s tariffs have been canceled—and the housing market could stand to benefit. Could this be yet another sign that inflation is slowing and that mortgage rates can continue to fall? This is big news for the housing market, but it’s not even the biggest news of this episode. Today, we’re going over everything you may have missed. From the Supreme Court striking down tariffs in a majority vote to a major housing bill moving forward, to cities seeing the most new corporate headquarters (a serious sign of job growth), we’ve been busy taking stock of the stories affecting investors. We’ll get into how the tariff reversal will affect prices and mortgage rates (this may be great news), the new housing law that could make building, renovating, and financing even easier, Trump’s new “tokenized” real estate investments, and the markets that may see the biggest booms as jobs flood these areas. In This Episode We Cover Tariffs canceled: a win for the housing market as inflation risk reduces? The new housing supply and affordability bill that could pass the Senate soon The cities that are gaining (and losing) corporate headquarters (some are not so obvious) Would you invest in Trump’s “tokenized” real estate investment? The “crypto for real estate” push continues Will tariffs be returned to American citizens who paid them? One Supreme Court justice gives his honest take And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders On the Market 399 - Buying (and Building) Houses Could Get a LOT Easier WSJ: Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump’s Global Tariffs NAR: Bipartisan Housing Bill Passes House of Representatives BI: A crypto firm with ties to Trump will 'tokenize' some of the president's real estate empire Visual Capitalist: The U.S. Cities Gaining and Losing Corporate HQs Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave's Book, "Real Estate by the Numbers" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-402. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:30:55
Off by Nearly 1 MILLION Jobs? Why New Jobs Report Will Impact Rentals
2/19/2026
Big economic news dropped last week: labor data, inflation rates, and huge jobs revisions. All of these are already impacting the housing market, but could new numbers cause an even greater shift that could affect your mortgage rate, your rents, and your next deal? Rental property owners, agents, sellers, and buyers: this news affects what you’re doing right now. New labor data beat the odds, with a surprising amount of hirings. But, with many of those hirings concentrated in a few specific fields, investors in markets with this line of work will need to watch carefully. And it wasn’t all good news—the largest jobs number revision in over a decade happened last week. The number of overreported jobs? It changes the picture entirely. A strong labor market could mean stagnant mortgage rates, but inflation data might just come in to save the day. With lower inflation readings, could the Fed get the confidence to cut once again? Finally, we’ll talk about exactly which types of homes will sell and which will stagnate on the market. One type of property is flying off the proverbial shelf, so if you can build, renovate, or rent it, you could be in luck. For the rest of investors, Dave has some cautious words of wisdom that could save you if this economic trend continues. In This Episode We Cover Off by nearly 1,000,000 jobs: Inside the largest jobs number revision in over a decade New inflation rate readings and whether we’re trending in the right direction More moves for mortgage rates? Positive data that could tip them a bit lower The one type of housing that has high demand, even as consumer sentiment stays low Why you either feel phenomenal or terrible about the U.S. economy And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Join us at the BiggerPockets Conference October 2-4 in Orlando. Buy tickets Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 372 - New Recession Indicator Shows Americans Worse Off Than We Thought BiggerPockets Real Estate - 1229 - Scott Trench’s $1,000,000 Bet on Real Estate (Update) Grab the Book on "Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing" Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-401. Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Duration:00:30:17