The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

Today’s guest is Eddy Elfenbein, one of the OG financial bloggers at Crossing Wall Street. Eddy also runs the CWS ETF, which is from his annual buy list of 25 stocks. In today’s episode, Eddy shares his insights on investing, stock selection, and the challenges of managing an ETF. He discusses the origins of his buy list, his investment philosophy focused on high-quality stocks, and the importance of understanding market cycles. Eddie also provides advice for aspiring ETF managers and reflects on the unique stock picks that have defined his career. (0:00) Starts (3:22) Eddie's buy list concept and CWS ETF launch (9:55) Eddy's investment philosophy (19:36) Stock picking challenges and notable winners (22:45) Market misconceptions (28:38) Elfenbein's stock market theory (38:20) Eddy's most memorable investment (44:54) Market concerns and investment strategies ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Tobias Carlisle, founder of Acquirers Funds and serves as portfolio manager of the firm’s deep value strategy. He’s just released a book called Soldier of Fortune: Warren Buffett, Sun Tzu and the Ancient Art of Risk-Taking. In today’s episode, Toby starts by discussing the current valuation landscape and the challenge for small cap investors. Then he explores the intersection of Warren Buffett’s investment philosophy with Sun Tzu’s teachings. He walks through notable investment case studies, including General Re, Burlington Northern and Japanese trading houses. The case studies all convey the significance of patience, strategic thinking, and the pursuit of asymmetric opportunities in investing, while also addressing the psychological aspects that influence investor behavior. (0:34) Introduction of Tobias Carlisle (1:32) Value investing in current market conditions (4:04) Market outlook and valuation differences across cap-sizes (10:03) Jay Powell's recent comments (13:57) Toby's new book (19:54) The Gen Re investment (26:33) Buffett's investment in Japan and Apple (32:57) Buffett's investment principles and managing FOMO (42:30) Comparing low volatility and high beta stocks ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Morgan Housel, the bestselling author of The Psychology of Money and Same As Ever. His books have sold over nine million copies. His new book releasing in October is The Art of Spending Money. Morgan is a partner at The Collaborative Fund and serves on the board of directors at Markel. In today’s episode, Morgan discusses the complexities of wealth, spending, and happiness. He shares insights on the psychological implications of financial identity and the importance of independence and purpose in achieving true happiness. One theme throughout is that investing is more about human behavior than financial principles. (0:00) Starts (1:31) Introduction of guest Morgan Housel (2:01) Virality, luck and success (3:38) The psychological impact of wealth (7:15) The burden of material possessions and spending for happiness (11:17) Personal history's influence on spending and investment behavior (16:01) Cultural attitudes toward investing (22:07) The role of identity in financial behavior (27:45) Avoiding peer comparisons (37:30) Finding happiness and purpose after financial independence (50:13) Morgan's most memorable investment Sponsor: ⁠AcreTrader⁠ is an investment platform that makes it simple to own shares of farmland and earn passive income, and you can start investing in just minutes online. ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! -----Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Keith McCullough, Founder and CEO of Hedgeye, a financial media company that provides real-time investment research. In today’s episode, Keith discusses his journey in the financial world, the importance of market signals, and the innovative quad framework he uses to navigate economic scenarios. He emphasizes the significance of understanding the U.S. dollar’s impact on global markets, the psychology behind investing decisions, and the necessity of position sizing. McCullough also shares insights into Hedgeye's new venture into asset management and the future of ETFs, highlighting the evolving landscape of investing. (0:00) Starts (1:28) Keith McCullough's investment philosophy (2:48) Explanation of Hedgeye's "signal" and "quad" strategy (14:19) Outlook for the US dollar (24:10) Understanding economic cycles (40:10) Launching Hedgeye Asset Management (47:51) Keith's most memorable investment experience ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Dave Thornton, co-founder & Chief Customer Officer of Vested, which helps startup employees unlock the value in their equity. In today’s episode, Dave walks through the messy reality of startup stock options, noting $600 billion of startup equity is abandoned over a market cycle. He explains how Vested helps solve this problem by providing funding to help employees exercise their expiring stock options, in exchange for exposure to a portion of the now-owned shares. Dave also previews Vestiment, a tool to track the fair-market value of your equity over time that’s already reducing abandonment, and shares practical takeaways for employees, advisors, and allocators seeking exposure to venture capital. (0:00) Starts (0:34) Dave Thornton explains Vested (9:35) Vested's selection model, data sources, and proprietary insights (17:22) Vested's investment strategy and funds (21:19) Trends in IPOs (23:13) Venture exposure (26:18) Introducing the Vestimate (31:12) Future goals for Vested (37:38) Final remarks ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! -----Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Alex Morris, the CEO & CIO of F/m Investments, a $19 billion investment firm. In today’s episode, Alex & Meb walk through the evolution of investment strategies and what led Alex to launch a series of bond-centric ETFs, with TBIL emerging as the breakout success. He also highlights his new “Compoundr” series, seeks to convert bond ETF income into price appreciation by rotating exposures around dividend dates. Be sure to stick around for a bold prediction about dual share classes. (0:00) Starts (1:16) Alex's path to launching ETFs (4:27) TBIL ETF (7:50) Evolution in bond ETFs (17:22) Investor behavior in fixed income ETFs (24:49) Compoundr series and tax efficiency in bond ETFs (34:12) Securities lending (39:19) Long-term investing & tax decisions (46:54) Alex's thoughts on dual share class (51:15) Alex's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Subscribe to YouTube Today’s guest is Bob Elliott, CEO and CIO of Unlimited, which uses machine learning to create low-cost index replications of 2&20 style alternative investments. Prior to founding Unlimited, Bob served on the Investment Committee at Bridgewater Associates and led Ray Dalio’s investment research team for nearly a decade. In today’s episode, Bob discusses the macroeconomic landscape — from the Federal Reserve to the impact of tariffs and the dollar’s long-term overvaluation. He highlights the disconnect between weakening economic data and elevated stock valuations, noting that prices can’t diverge from the real economy for long. He also emphasizes the role of asset allocation and diversification, with a focus on TIPS, bonds, and hedge fund replication strategies. (0:00) Starts (1:09) Introduction of Bob Elliott (4:13) Tariffs consequences (8:53) Dollar performance (13:09) Evaluation of asset dislocations and investment opportunities (18:55) Sentiment towards bonds (22:11) Global macro strategies (36:07) Portfolio diversification and addressing high fees (44:51) Role of illiquid assets and transparency in private investments (52:15) Bear market impacts and regulatory challenges (59:28) New product developments and liquid venture prospects ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Mark Higgins, a Senior VP for IFA Institutional, where he specializes in providing advisory services to institutions. He’s also the author of Investing in U.S. Financial History: Understanding the Past to Forecast the Future, which is one of my favorite books on financial history. In today’s episode, Mark explores the parallels between historical financial crises and today’s economic landscape. He touches on the disturbing trends in private markets, the ethics of asset management, the evolution of U.S. debt, the future of the U.S. dollar, and more. (0:00) Starts (1:23) Mark Higgins' financial history insights (2:19) History of insider trading (4:14) Historical perspective on debt and reserve currencies (19:49) Gold, Bitcoin, and the evolution of financial markets (26:16) Passive vs. active management and private markets (37:19) Private market concerns (45:10) Historical figures and retirement plan changes (47:11) Inflation concerns (50:02) Mark's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s returning guest is Mike Philbrick, CEO of ReSolve Asset Management and Founding Member of the Return Stacked Team. In today’s episode, Mike discusses the evolving role of gold and Bitcoin in investment portfolios given the current economic landscape. He explores the historical performance of gold, its risk premium, and how it can help negate home country bias. Then he explains how investors can utilize gold futures to enhance a traditional 60/40 allocation. (0:00) Starts (1:18) Introduction of Mike Philbrick (3:10) US monetary policy, gold and Bitcoin (7:26) Gold performance since 2000 (14:09) Can gold hedge home country bias? (27:08) Bitcoin vs. gold (31:37) Overview of return stacking strategies (43:58) The future of return stacking funds ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Henry McVey, Head of Global Macro & Asset Allocation and Firmwide Market Risk and CIO of the KKR Balance Sheet. In today’s episode, Henry discusses the current macroeconomic landscape, emphasizing the regime change underway. He touches on the implications of a decline in the US dollar, where he sees opportunities in global markets, particularly in Europe and Japan, and asset allocation advice for investors. (0:00) Starts (2:26) Investor appetite and regime change (6:20) The US dollar, AI, and the role of productivity (10:14) Market performance and valuation in the US and Europe (22:56) China's economic transformation (29:12) Private equity opportunities in Japan (35:34) Corporate strategy and the loneliness epidemic (45:57) US bonds and government indebtedness (51:02) Henry's most memorable investment ⁠LinkedIn Mid Year Outlook for 2025 Acceleration in the Global Flywheel Art of Learning ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Download their deck on how to navigate the “Big Beautiful Bill” and get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guests are Wes Gray, founder, CEO and Co-CIO of Alpha Architect, and Srikanth Narayan, founder and CEO of Cache, which he started in 2022 after experiencing concentrated stock positions in his own portfolio. Previously, he served in engineering and product leadership positions at Uber and Alphabet. In today’s episode, Meb, Wes & Srikanth share some big news about a new idea involving both exchange funds and 351 ETF conversions. Srikanth explains the mechanics of exchange funds, the risks associated with stock concentration, and the launch of his newest initiative. The discussion also touches on tax efficiency, fees, the competitive landscape of asset management, and more. Learn more about 351 ETF Exchanges or email us to chat! (0:00) Starts (1:10) Discussion on Section 351 (4:33) Explanation of exchange funds and stock concentration risk (16:25) Case study of the new exchange fund model (20:06) Onboarding and cost structure of the new exchange fund (23:13) Qualifying illiquid assets and cost in tax strategies (31:03) Use cases and investor education on ETF tax benefits (34:11) FAQs and the importance of tax alpha (45:23) Reflections on SPACs and speculative markets ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (⁠https://thepodcastconsultant.com⁠). ----- To determine if this Fund is an appropriate investment for you, carefully consider the Fund's investment objectives, risk factors, charges and expense before investing. This and other information can be found in the Fund's full or summary prospectus which may be obtained by calling 855-383-4636 (ETF INFO) or visiting our website at www.cambriafunds.com. Read the prospectus carefully before investing or sending money. The Cambria ETFs are distributed by ALPS Distributors Inc., 1290 Broadway, Suite 1000, Denver, CO 80203, which is not affiliated with Cambria Investment Management, LP, the Investment Adviser for the Fund. Investing involves risk, including potential loss of capital. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Sara Naison-Tarajano, Global Head of Private Wealth Management Capital Markets and Goldman Sachs Apex. Sara has been at Goldman Sachs for over 25 years, and currently leads a worldwide platform that delivers multi-asset trading, financing, and direct-investment opportunities to some of the firm’s largest family offices. In today’s episode, Sara runs through her career at Goldman Sachs, and the distinct approach required for family office investing. She explores the unique balance of risk management and growth that helps protect generational wealth, as well as the importance of alternatives in these strategies. Finally, Sara covers networking opportunities, market insights, and the most common challenges that affect family offices. (0:00) Starts (1:53) Sara's role at Goldman Sachs (7:12) Challenges faced by wealthy families (14:02) Concentrated wealth for family offices (23:31) Portfolio strategies and alts (30:40) Asset allocation and educating the next generation (37:39) Insights from Goldman Sachs family office conference (43:18) Risk management and market outlook for 2025 ----- Follow Meb on⁠ X⁠,⁠ LinkedIn⁠ and⁠ YouTube⁠ For detailed show notes, click ⁠here⁠ To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our ⁠mailing list⁠ or visit us at⁠ cambriainvestments.com⁠ ----- Sponsor:⁠ YCharts⁠ enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: ⁠X⁠ | ⁠LinkedIn⁠ | ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠TikTok⁠ ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include ⁠Ed Thorp⁠, ⁠Richard Thaler⁠, ⁠Jeremy Grantham⁠, ⁠Joel Greenblatt⁠, ⁠Campbell Harvey⁠, ⁠Ivy Zelman⁠, ⁠Kathryn Kaminski⁠, ⁠Jason Calacanis⁠, ⁠Whitney Baker,⁠ ⁠Aswath Damodaran⁠, ⁠Howard Marks⁠, ⁠Tom Barton⁠, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out ⁠here⁠! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (⁠https://thepodcastconsultant.com⁠). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guests are Dan Rasmussen, founder of Verdad Advisers, and D.A. Wallach, a venture capital investor for Time BioVentures and an acclaimed recording artist. Pharrell Williams discovered D.A.’s band Chester French and signed the group to Interscope Records. In today’s episode, Dan & D.A. discuss the current state of biotech, the impact of AI on healthcare, and the role of innovative treatments in transforming patient care. The three also touch on the shifting narrative of private equity, tax strategies, venture capital returns, and much more. (0:00) Starts (1:02) D. A.'s journey from musician to investor (7:30) Dan on the state of biotech (19:14) Opportunities and challenges in healthcare and biotech (33:16) Private equity market dynamics (41:30) Public vs. private markets and venture capital returns analysis (59:54) Opportunities in international markets (1:09:00) Tax strategies (1:16:39) Potential biotech investments (1:19:00) Global investment trends ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Victor Haghani, founder and CIO of Elm Wealth, which focuses on managing wealth with an emphasis on diversification, low fees, and tax efficiency. He’s also the author of The Missing Billionaires: A Guide to Better Financial Decisions. In today’s episode, Victor explores the Crystal Ball challenge, and how position sizing can be even more important than knowing tomorrow’s news headlines. He also addresses the role of disciplined asset allocation in investment strategy, and how foreign stocks might stack up against US equities going forward. Finally, Victor touches on the relationship between expected return, fair value, and mean reversion, and whether or not the markets have a fair value at all. (0:00) Starts (1:45) Introduction of Victor Haghani (2:01) "Tomorrow's Newspaper Today" study (11:46) The Merton share (19:34) Elm Wealth's asset allocation strategy (24:02) Behavioral and tax implications in investing (39:19) Market timing models (56:01) Consumer behavior and Roth IRA conversions (1:02:05) Macro & mean reversion (1:06:08) Victor Haghani’s most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guests are Rob Arnott, founder and Chairman of the board of Research Affiliates, and Campbell Harvey, Head of Research at Research Affiliates and Professor of Finance at the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University. In today’s episode, Rob and Cam touch on the state of value investing in a megacap dominated market, emphasizing the potential consequences of large scale passive investing. They also touch on the rapid change presented by AI, what it may be capable of, and its impacts on how we should view investing. Finally, they address the global investing environment and macro trends, instability, and the role of government in changing world markets. (0:00) Starts (1:46) Introduction of Rob Arnott & Cam Harvey (7:35) Passive investing risks (14:22) The opportunity in small caps and foreign markets (24:22) Similarities between today & the Dot-Com era (34:43) REITs, gold and investor sentiment (47:14) Government spending & US national debt concerns (1:03:27) US debt service, defense spending, and financial crisis risks (1:05:09) Cam on the inverted yield curve (1:08:09) Closing remarks and listener feedback ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor:⁠ YCharts⁠ enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today we’re joined by Whitney Baker, founder of Totem Macro and one of the sharpest minds in macro investing. Whitney was previously the head of Emerging Markets at Bridgewater Associates and worked at Soros Fund Management under current Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. In today’s episode, Whitney discusses the current macroeconomic landscape, emphasizing the end of the ‘buy the dip’ mentality and the unique challenges the U.S. faces as the bubble finally comes to an end. She touches on the challenges and opportunities in emerging markets, the impact of tariffs & AI on global growth dynamics, and ‘The Triple Yasu’ phenomenon. Finally, Whitney addresses the role of gold in investment portfolios, advocating for its inclusion as a hedge against currency debasement and economic uncertainty. (0:00) Starts (1:21) Introduction of Whitney Baker (3:05) Global macro landscape (10:12) US debt dynamics (18:26) Market shifts, potential solutions, and foreign investment dynamics (23:31) AI's impact on productivity (30:31) US fiscal policies (38:29) The "Triple Yasu" (43:33) Opportunities in foreign and emerging markets (47:12) Historical debt solutions and modern financial strategies (53:23) How tariffs help national security (59:07) Emerging market bonds (1:06:08) Chinese industrial capacity (1:18:08) China and India's financial challenges and opportunities (1:32:31) Role of gold in portfolios ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Kim Flynn, President of XA Investments, which helps provide access to alternative investments. She was previously the Head of Product Development for Nuveen Investments Global Structured Products Group. In today’s episode, Meb and Kim discuss the democratization of alternative investments in relation to the recent explosion of interval funds. Then, Kim covers the challenges and opportunities in the interval fund space, and the potential for innovation with different asset classes, and best practices for advisors and investors interested in these products. (0:00) Starts (0:34) Introduction of Kim Flynn (1:47) Understanding interval funds (8:41) Future trends and innovation in closed-end and interval funds (15:38) Valuation and liquidity concerns in interval funds (20:19) Accessibility and indexation of interval funds for retail investors (30:36) Exploring farmland and "forever fund" concepts (32:49) Private credit, venture capital, and sector-specific interval fund potential (38:16) Guidance for financial advisers on interval funds (46:46) Outlook for interval funds (49:15) Kim's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Cole Wilcox, CIO of Longboard Asset Management, a boutique asset manager specializing in alternative investment strategies. In today’s episode, Cole walks through one of my favorite papers of all time, Does Trend-Following Still Work On Stocks? Hint: it does. Cole explains why you have to be a good loser to be a good investor, how power laws dominate the stock market, and the set up for trend following going forward., including the dollar and gold, and if he believes we are headed for a recession. (0:00) Start (1:02) Introducing our guest, Brendan Ahern (5:53) The state of China's economy (14:18) Analysis of China's geopolitical concerns and international partnerships (20:01) The narrative around China post Russia-Ukraine (22:03) Deep dive into KWEB (29:44) Implications of the US election (32:40) Discussion on currency hedging (33:52) Other KraneShares' funds (41:44) Will TikTok be banned (43:52) Brendan's most memorable investment (46:18) Future plans for KraneShares ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Alex Wright, Global Wealth Strategist at Apollo. In today’s episode, Alex discusses the fragility of public markets, citing high valuations, rising correlations, and limited diversification opportunities, which prompt a need to reassess traditional 60/40 portfolios. Then he walks through the opportunity in private markets, including private equity, private credit and infrastructure. Alex explains why private assets can offer a potential pathway to enhanced diversification and capture opportunities in an expanding and evolving investment universe. (0:00) Starts (1:58) Alex's market overview and economic outlook (4:08) Public market valuation (15:07) Private markets potential (24:42) Private equity and credit opportunities (36:37) Comparison of public and private opportunities (40:16) Infrastructure investment opportunities (42:26) Alex's most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on⁠ X⁠,⁠ LinkedIn⁠ and⁠ YouTube⁠ For detailed show notes, click ⁠here⁠ To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our ⁠mailing list⁠ or visit us at⁠ cambriainvestments.com⁠ ----- Sponsor:⁠ YCharts⁠ enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: ⁠X⁠ | ⁠LinkedIn⁠ | ⁠Instagram⁠ | ⁠TikTok⁠ ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include ⁠Ed Thorp⁠, ⁠Richard Thaler⁠, ⁠Jeremy Grantham⁠, ⁠Joel Greenblatt⁠, ⁠Campbell Harvey⁠, ⁠Ivy Zelman⁠, ⁠Kathryn Kaminski⁠, ⁠Jason Calacanis⁠, ⁠Whitney Baker,⁠ ⁠Aswath Damodaran⁠, ⁠Howard Marks⁠, ⁠Tom Barton⁠, and many more. ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (⁠https://thepodcastconsultant.com⁠). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today’s guest is Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Global Chief Economist at BCG and author Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk. In today’s episode, Philipp starts by sharing his framework to assess macroeconomic risk, emphasizing the importance of adapting to changing global conditions. Then he applies that framework to the world today and shares his view on tariffs and changing trade relations, the impact of AI on labor and the deflationary effects of technology. He also covers global currencies, including the dollar and gold, and if he believes we are headed for a recession. (0:00) Starts (1:07) Rejecting the master model mentality (3:34) The allure of doom (8:08) Historical recession risk frameworks (14:00) Public debt, balance sheets, and global tariff impacts (19:41) Sentiment indicators (24:41) Wealth distribution in different regions (28:44) AI's impact on labor (33:05) De-dollarization (40:02) Most memorable investment ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Sponsor: YCharts enables financial advisors to make smarter investment decisions and better communicate with clients. Get 20% off your initial YCharts Professional subscription when you start your free trial. Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more. ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here! ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices