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The Bayesian Conspiracy

Education Podcasts

A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.

Location:

United States

Description:

A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists.

Language:

English


Episodes
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250 – Seeking Alpha, with Jay

10/15/2025
Jay talks with us about finding Alpha – returns above the base rate – in every day life (and what this means). LINKS Optimize Everything, Jay’s substack Jay on Twitter Arbor Trading Bootcamp Kelsey’s argument that We Need To Be Able To Sue AI Companies 00:00:05 – Alpha with Jay 01:28:53 – Guild of the […]

Duration:01:43:12

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247 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 2

10/1/2025
We continue discussing Nostalgebraist’s “The Void” in the context of how to relate to LLMs. If God imagines Claude hard enough, does Claude become real? LINKS The Void Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho The referenced episode where the three of us spoke of Janus’s post “Simulators” Claude-Clark post – Simulacra Welfare: Meet Clark, by […]

Duration:01:43:01

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246 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 1

9/17/2025
We discuss Nostalgebraist’s “The Void” in the context of how to relate to LLMs. “When you talk to ChatGPT, who or what are you talking to?” LINKS The Void Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho The referenced episode where the three of us spoke of Janus’s post “Simulators” The Measure of a Man episode […]

Duration:01:43:12

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pre246 note

9/17/2025
Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho

Duration:00:00:08

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245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos

9/3/2025
Do we need to be concerned for the welfare of AIs today? What about the near future? Eleos AI Research is asking exactly that. LINKS Eleos AI Research People for the Ethical Treatment of Reinforcement Learners Bees Can’t Suffer? Lena, … Continue reading →

Duration:01:33:54

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244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Wilson

8/20/2025
Andrew Wilson tells us how incorporating as a church allows you to navigate modernity, and gives us the basic steps to doing so. LINKS Andrew’s church substack – The Church of the Infinite Game To incorporate in CA file ARTS-PB-501(c)(3) … Continue reading →

Duration:01:23:13

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Bayes Blast 45 – Bees Blast

8/14/2025
Is a bee worth 1/7th of a human? Can a bee suffer at all? Nathan joins us to discuss what neural structures are needed for this question to make sense. Map of all the fruitfly neurons

Duration:00:13:28

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243 – Wes Is Not The Monogamy Police, with Wesly Fenza and Jennifer Kesteloot

8/6/2025
Wes defends his post I Am Not the Monogamy Police, while Jennifer asserts it’s about more than monogamy. LINKS Wes’s post I Am Not the Monogamy Police His blog, Living Within Reason The original tweets – monogamy vs charity Aella’s … Continue reading →

Duration:01:53:56

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Bayes Blast 44 – Play-By-Post Storytelling

8/4/2025
Olivia from the Guild of the Rose is back to tell us about the noble and most ancient tradition of play-by-post storytelling. (Spoiler, it’s the precursor to glowfic!)

Duration:00:16:49

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242 – TracingWoodgrains, live at Manifest 2025

7/23/2025
Eneasz sits down with Tracing Woodgrains before a live audience at Manifest 2025 for a wide range of topics. Then we follow up some more afterwards. LINKS Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter and at his Substack A reddit history of what … Continue reading →

Duration:01:33:03

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Bayes Blast 43 – Die-ing to Intuit Bayes’ Theorem

7/22/2025
Olivia is a member of the Guild of the Rose and a total badass. Enjoy the intuitive and fun lesson in Bayesian reasoning she shared with me at VibeCamp.

Duration:00:13:19

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Bonus – AI Village Hosts An Event For Humans

7/11/2025
Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. … Continue reading →

Duration:00:36:24

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241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira

7/9/2025
Liron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train. LINKS Doom Debates on YouTube Doom Debates podcast Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel Liron’s current favorite debate – … Continue reading →

Duration:01:51:34

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240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg

6/25/2025
Many of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion … Continue reading →

Duration:00:58:23

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Bayes Blast 42 – Epic AI Music

6/13/2025
David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the Spotify playlist or the Youtube playlist He’s also one of the cofounders … Continue reading →

Duration:00:16:26

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239 – SymbyAI

6/11/2025
Steven works at SymbyAI, a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. … Continue reading →

Duration:01:22:57

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238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian

5/28/2025
We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. 🙁 This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter Paid … Continue reading →

Duration:01:26:10

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237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian

5/14/2025
We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – OK so why? 01:24:55 – … Continue reading →

Duration:01:26:53

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236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan

4/30/2025
Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “Twilight of the Edgelords,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro … Continue reading →

Duration:01:47:29

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235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen

4/16/2025
Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted … Continue reading →

Duration:02:24:14