The FarrCast-logo

The FarrCast

Government >

More Information


United States






Ganges, Potomac, and L'Etat C'est Moi (Oh My)

Welcome to the FarrCast! As always we start with the markets, and what a difference a week makes. The Dow ricocheted 500 points -- Kenny Polcari joins from the floor, and he says the pain isn't over yet, but it does seem like the markets are building a floor; Kenny says to watch for the lows creeping higher -- that's the good sign we want to see. It's early in earnings season, and while bottom line profits look good, the top line revenue growth is important and Michael and Kenny explain...


Running To, and Running Away . . .

Markets are waffled as yield surged. Kenny Polcari joins us tonight and tells us why there is no reason to panic, and what to look for as earnings begin. Kenny is looking to the banks to get off to a good start, and is looking for another leg up before the end of the year. DC is the gift that keeps giving, and our senior political analyst, Dan Mahaffee helps to sort. Two weeks ago, Dan said Rosensteen stays and Kavanaugh goes -- Dan explains what got Kavanaugh over the line. Breaking news...


Markets Underestimate the Fed, Kavanaugh Goes, Rosenstein Stays

Wow, what a week! What will we talk about? We start with the markets and Jim Iuorio -- there has been a lot of talk about a bull market, but Jim points out that much of 2015 and 2016 traded sideways. Corrections can be time or in price. There is a lot of great news lately -- consumer confidence, employment, median income. But there is concern -- will the higher rates eventually break the rally. Iuorio is optimistic but is worried about the word "accelerate" coming from the Fed...


So You're Saying It's Coercion

Michael opens tonight's show with an explanation of financial discipline -- investors talk about it, but what does it mean? How does rebalancing help manage your risk? Michael brings on bond expert Andy Mathes tonight. He tells us what he sees in the bond markets, and what that tells us about where the equity markets go next? Last week, Dan Mahaffee said that the Kavanaugh nomination should proceed apace unless something cataclysmic happens. Tonight Mahaffee says "I think we have a...


Pulling a Circus Tent Over the Swamp

When the S&P 500 set a new high on October 21, Kenny Polcari was the FarrCast saying he'd like the markets trade sideways for a bit AND he expected September to be okay. Now we are in the middle of September and Kenny has been spot on. Michael and Kenny talk about what comes next. Dan Mahaffee joins to look at DC: there is an unprecedented disconnect between the health of the economy and the popularity of the President. Trump fatigue is setting in, and the GOP looks to lose the House. Tom...


Playing Chess on Three Boards

It's the Chicago FarrCast! Jim Iuorio joins us from Chicago Mercantile Exchange. The markets had an excuse this week to back off with a little hint of wage inflation (remember February when a hint sent the market into a correction?) but the rally continues. The yield curve is flattening, but it's still positive. There might be a chink in the market's armor in the increasing rate environment. Chicago native Dan Mahaffee from the Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress comes in...


Pleas, Convictions, and new Market Highs!

The FarrCast is back! People are coming back from vacation, and juries are returning with verdicts. Michael welcomes back the great Kenny Polcari to sort out what it means for the markets. Kenny says, in the short term, political noise might create volatility, but in the long-term does not price stocks. September is usually a rough month for equities, but Kenny thinks the markets hold up. UNLESS -- something comes out of left field. Dan Mahaffee joins from the Center for the Study of the...


Republicans Hate Us... Democrats Hate Us... We Must Be Doing Something Right!

Jim Iuorio joins us from the floor of the Chicago Exchange to talk earnings and blue skies ahead. Dan Mahaffee discusses Iran, Russia and more tax cuts. It's hot in D.C. and it's hot on The FarrCast! Please Listen!


I'm Getting T-Shirts Made

It's a slow, languid summer week. The President met a few world leaders and held a press conference that got a little coverage, but there wasn't much . . . Oh who are we kidding? There is enough material for four shows this week. We've got Jim Iuorio from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange kicking us off with a look at the markets. There was moderately positive economic news on consumer spending and moderately dovish comments from Fed Chair Powell, and the markets reacted to that news and...


You Can Lose a Finger

Tariffs blows have been traded and DOOM is upon us. Well, maybe not -- the markets are adapting to the President's totally unprecedented style. Jim Iuorio joins us from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and tells why the sky isn't falling. Tom Heath and Jim talk about oil -- as a massive producer the US benefits from high oil, but hurts the consumer. Where is the sweet spot? Next up is regular Dan Mahaffee -- a Supreme Court nominee has been nominated. Mahaffee says that the Kavanaugh pick is...


My Mom Would Be Really Excited

It's the holiday week edition of FarrCast! Kenny Polcari calls in from the floor of the NYSE and tells us how the markets are distorted by the low volumes on the holiday. Tariffs are to take effect on Friday -- Kenny tells us what to look for depending on how the news breaks, and what the tone is. It's a new quarter, and we look to other side of the tariff news: have we seen a peak in investor sentiment? Dan Mahaffee is Michael's guest for the second segment, and he gives us a preview of...


Freshman says the House will shift in November

It's another great FarrCast! The markets dive -- should Fred & Ethel be worried about their retirement accounts? All of the experts agree. The Dow dropped under it's 200 day moving average. Jim Iuorio says, "that means almost nothing to me." Iuorio says the bull market isn't over, but there are things out there that worry him. The Fed still has a tightrope act in the raising rate environment. Dan Mahaffee is with us again to explain the inexplicable -- the dysfunction of DC. This President...


From Bombast to Photo Ops - Jaw Jaw is better than War War

Michael opens the show as he always does by checking in with Kenny Polcari to talk about the volatile day on Wall Street and the surprising news about GE. Next, Dan Mahafee from CSPC calls in to discuss the aftermath of the Singapore Summit, and the growing tension between the US and China over the trade war. And Michael wraps up by chatting with Mark Olson from Treliant Risk Advisors about the latest news from the Fed and whether the standard of living in the US will rise or decline in the...


A Special Place in Hell (And Kenny Gets Bleeped)

The market was a big dud -- on the N. Korea news, and Kenny explains why the markets don't react too much to geo-political shifts. But later this week, the Fed, the ECB, and the BoJ all have announcements -- and markets move on monetary shifts. Kenny and Michael explain what the markets are looking for. Dan Mahaffee is the resident genius at FarrCast from the Center for the Study of the Presidency & Congress. And boy do we have a President and Congress to be studied. Dan doesn't makes...


He Was Just Trying to Get Concert Tickets

Jim Iuorio joins Michael to talk markets -- he's bullish, but he's not euphoric. He tells us why he's optimistic -- and he shares what worries him as well. It's been an interesting week in DC, and Dan Mahaffee tells us what is historically unprecedented, and what is just posturing. Orthodoxy is being challenged and much of it happens beneath the headlines. Mueller and Korea are in the headlines though -- and Dan gives what to look for next. For the third segment, Michael dives in to some of...


Things Went a Little Pear Shaped

Welcome to the FarrCast! It has been a big start to the week, and Kenny Polcari joins Michael to talk about the 400 point drop on the Dow and the strong rally in bonds. Is there anything to worry about? Or is this just more of the volatility that Kenny and Michael have been warning about since December (before the volatility began.) Spygate and the deep state and name calling over North Korea -- and then it suddenly goes quiet. Dan Mahaffee parses what is going on in DC this week. Amidst...


This Sounds Like a Third Grade Spat

It's another great FarrCast! Michael welcomes Jim Iuorio from Chicago Mercantile Exchange to talk markets. Are the markets worried about trade? Maybe a little-- but the big story is interest rates. Does the economy have enough momentum to thrive in the rising rate environment? DC is the gift that keeps giving and Dan Mahaffee is back to guide us through the dysfunction. The House fails to pass a Farm Bill; this could be harbinger of things to come. And could have economic ramifications. Dan...


I Was Told There Would Be No Math

Kenny Polcari on the markets -- we've broken resistance, what next? Clayton Allen gives us a deep dive into NAFTA, Iran, and international trade. Dan Mahaffee connects the threads. We've been all over the place in the markets. We have a 3.1% ten-year, and an ever stronger dollar. Kenny Polcari tells us where the market is, and what the markets are trying to figure out. The pieces are in place for the markets to rise -- as long as inflation is steady and slow. Clayton Allen from Height...


Much Older Than I Am of Course

The markets have bounced! Kenny Polcari tells us where the next level of resistance is -- and where the market goes if resistance breaks. Michael and Kenny discuss what the technical indicators are telling us, but looking at the fundamentals, they really haven't changed as the markets are whipsawing back and forth. And the fundamentals are good. Matt Leffingwell calls in from Capitol Hill this week, and talks foreign policy. The Korea situation seems to be moving positively, but the US...


The devil's in the details

Big moves in the market! But Kenny Polcari tells us why the move down wasn't anything to sweat -- and why the bounce up might not go very high. Matt Leffingwell joins from Capitol Hill -- literally. There is news from both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue and Matt catches us up. Matt told us last week that Gen. Kelly's star was waning, and this week the news has shown that to be the case. Listen in to find out what the thoughts are on the Hill about the Mueller investigation and the new leaks....