Balance of Power

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. President Donald Trump denied that he is considering strikes on Venezuela, contradicting a media report that he’d given approval for such a move as well as his own past statements that he was preparing land attacks after a series of boat strikes. Trump replied “no” when asked by reporters Friday aboard Air Force One if it was true he is weighing whether to attack military sites in Venezuela. He said “no” again when asked if he had decided on the matter. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition, Joe speaks with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Donald Trump and Xi Jinping agreed to extend a tariff truce, roll back export controls and reduce other trade barriers in a landmark summit on Thursday, potentially stabilizing relations between the world’s biggest economies after months of turmoil. In the first sitdown between the leaders since Trump’s return to the White House, the pair agreed China would pause sweeping controls on rare-earth magnets in exchange for what Beijing said was a US agreement to roll back an expansion of restrictions on Chinese companies. The US will also halve fentanyl-related tariffs on Chinese goods, while Beijing resumes purchases of soybeans and other American agricultural products. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition, Joe speaks with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Food stamps are fast becoming the centerpiece of congressional Republicans’ and Democrats’ shutdown stare-down as nutritional benefits for 41 million Americans threaten to dry up in just three days. After weeks of seeming inaction and stalemate inside the Capitol, both sides are eyeing the deadline as a way to pressure the other into making a deal. The issue took center stage after Vice President JD Vance said Tuesday that the White House believes it can pay troops this Friday, once again taking a political grenade — missed paychecks for the military — off the table. The maneuver would clear the way for missed Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program benefits Saturday to become the No. 1 pressure point on lawmakers to end a nearly month-long government shutdown. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition, Joe speaks with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. President Donald Trump hailed the US’s alliance with Japan, reaffirming ties with a longstanding partner and praising new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi on her plans to ratchet up defense spending as the pair met in Tokyo. “I want to just let you know anytime you have any question, any doubt, anything you want, any favors you need, anything I can do to help Japan, we will be there,” Trump said. “We are an ally at the strongest level.” Trump also offered optimism that the two sides had overcome their trade disputes. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's David Gura is in for Joe and Kailey. David speaks with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. A meeting Thursday between Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping is set to be one of the key diplomatic events of the year, with the US-China economic relationship at stake following multiple rounds of escalating tensions and temporary truces. Trump told traveling reporters Monday on Air Force One that while nothing has yet been agreed, he felt good going into the meeting with Xi set to take place on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in South Korea. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, speaking in the same briefing, said a framework for Trump and Xi to finalize was forged over weekend talks with China, whose delegation was headed by Vice Premier He Lifeng. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's David Gura is in for Joe and Kailey. David speaks with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A status update on proposals from the Federal Reserve -- such as the rule known as the Basel III endgame to another one on a banks' G-SIB -- led Bloomberg Intelligence's Washington Policy Pulse on Oct. 27. While Bloomberg News reports that the Fed may increase capital requirements 3%-7% via the Basel III endgame, other actions could ultimately negate that impact for banks like Bank of America, JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs. We also discussed news reports that Treasury Secretary has narrowed down a list of potential Fed chairs to five individuals as well as an upcoming Senate vote on a resolution disapproving President Donald Trump's Canada and Brazil tariffs. It should be noted that move is largely symbolic. The Bloomberg Intelligence Financial Policy weekly call is designed to provide investors an opportunity to learn about the most recent relevant policy research, information regarding forthcoming political catalysts and other on-goings within Washington D.C. The call is open to all and is held every Monday at 10:00 a.m. EST. You can register for the call here: https://bloomberg.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN__PqCkwY-S2m3hbQqvVC1_Q#/registration See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. A delayed snapshot of inflation in September came in softer than expected, potentially offering a path for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates beyond next week’s meeting. The core consumer price index, excluding the often volatile food and energy categories, increased 0.2% from August, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data out Friday. That was the slowest pace in three months and restrained by the smallest increase in a key measure of housing costs since early 2021. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall is in for Kailey. Joe and Tyler speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Eric Adams will endorse Andrew Cuomo for New York City mayor, a reversal for the incumbent mayor after he accused his former challenger of being a “snake and a liar” just weeks ago in the contentious battle for Gracie Mansion. The endorsement, part of an effort to bolster Cuomo’s campaign against frontrunner Zohran Mamdani, comes less than two weeks before the November election. Adams and Cuomo were seen together court-side at the Knicks game Wednesday night following the final mayoral debate. The endorsement was reported earlier by the New York Times. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall is in for Kailey. Joe and Tyler speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Members of the ultra-conservative House Freedom Caucus and at least one influential Republican chairman are pushing for a long-term stopgap spending bill as part of their strategy to end the ongoing US government shutdown. Their push runs counter to comments from House Speaker Mike Johnson and members of the powerful appropriations committee, who have said they want to negotiate individual spending bills for fiscal year that started Oct. 1. That would likely require another short-term bill to grant lawmakers enough time to finalize the comprehensive legislation. Republicans remain united behind a short-term bill to fund the government until Nov. 21 — a plan that Democrats have repeatedly blocked in the Senate. But GOP lawmakers acknowledge that deadline is rapidly approaching and quickly need to develop a new plan to fund the government past that date. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall is in for Kailey. Joe and Tyler speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. US Vice President JD Vance said he remains optimistic about the future of a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas despite a flareup in violence over the weekend, part of a bid to keep talks progressing on the future of Gaza. Vance spoke Tuesday at the base of a multinational monitoring force near Gaza. He traveled to the region about a week after President Donald Trump unveiled a US-led agreement to end the two-year war between Israel and Hamas, starting with a truce and exchange of Hamas’s last living hostages for almost 2,000 Palestinian prisoners. “There are going to be hills and valleys,” Vance said, flanked by Trump’s son-in-law Jared Kushner and presidential envoy Steve Witkoff. “There are going to be moments where it looks like things aren’t going particularly well. But given that, and given the history of conflict, I think that everybody should be proud of where we are today.” Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall is in for Kailey. Joe and Tyler speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. President Donald Trump listed rare earths, fentanyl, soybeans and Taiwan as the US’s top issues with China, underlining the divisive topics the two sides plan to tackle at the negotiating table as a fragile trade truce nears its expiration. “I don’t want them to play the rare earth game with us,” Trump said on Air Force One on Sunday as he headed back to Washington from Florida. Days earlier, the US leader threatened an additional 100% tariff on Chinese products after Beijing vowed to exert broad controls on the minerals. Trump also said the US wanted China “to stop with the fentanyl,” a reference to his accusation that the Chinese government has failed to curb exports of the drug and its precursor chemicals, contributing to the American opioid crisis. Another key demand was for the world’s No. 2 economy to resume soybean purchases. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's Tyler Kendall is in for Kailey. Joe and Tyler speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

An update on President Donald Trump's threat to play an additional 100% tariffs on China -- and the potential for Congress to act on a resolution overturning Trump's emergency tariffs related to Canada and Brazil -- led Bloomberg Intelligence's Washington Policy Pulse on Oct. 22. We note that any resolution, to become law, would need Trump's signature. We also discussed the current policy state of play for the crypto industry, including the potential rulemakings and legislation set to impact firms like Coinbase, Robinhood, Circle and Bullish. Finally, we reviewed our note on SEC efforts to "Make IPOs Great Again" and how smaller firms could be the beneficiaries of such actions. The Bloomberg Intelligence Financial Policy weekly call is designed to provide investors an opportunity to learn about the most recent relevant policy research, information regarding forthcoming political catalysts and other on-goings within Washington D.C. The call is open to all and is held every Monday at 10:00 a.m. EST. You can register for the call here: https://bloomberg.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN__PqCkwY-S2m3hbQqvVC1_Q#/registration See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Make sense of the world with one essential conversation, every week. Mishal Husain, one of Britain's best interviewers, brings her signature blend of curiosity and tenacity to weekly conversations with world leaders, business titans, and cultural icons, revealing who they really are and how they see the world changing around them. Follow the podcast wherever you listen, so you don't miss an episode. swap.fm/l/P1iueaQy5gndhEheLwN3 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. President Donald Trump has his sights once again on ending the war in Ukraine, announcing another meeting with Russian leader Vladimir Putin after a first summit in Alaska failed to yield progress. The president framed the decision, announced after he spoke with Putin for more than two hours Thursday, as a plan to bring peace at last to a conflict that he once claimed he’d solve within a day. But it also deflates any pressure that had been building on Putin in recent weeks as Trump vented frustration with the Russian leader’s foot-dragging to end the war. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's Mario Parker is in for Kailey. Joe and Mario speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. US President Donald Trump said he would hold a second meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin at a yet-to-be determined date aimed at ending the war in Ukraine. Trump and Putin agreed to meet in Budapest during a two-hour phone call on Thursday. The two leaders met in Alaska in August, but failed to reach a breakthrough. “I believe great progress was made with today’s telephone conversation,” Trump posted on social media, saying that he and Putin would “see if we can bring this ‘inglorious’ War, between Russia and Ukraine, to an end.” Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's Mario Parker is in for Kailey. Joe and Mario speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Democrats are digging in for a long shutdown fight, rallying around their collective disdain for President Donald Trump’s budget director. Russell Vought has become an unusually prominent director of the Office of Management and Budget. His role in ratcheting up the pressure during the government shutdown — questioning whether federal workers will get back pay when the lapse ends and taking steps to lay off several thousand employees — has given Democratic lawmakers a clear opposition figure. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's Mario Parker is in for Kailey. Joe and Mario speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled the US central bank is on track to deliver another quarter-point interest-rate cut later this month, even as a government shutdown significantly reduces its read on the economy. Powell, in a speech Tuesday at the National Association for Business Economics annual meeting, said that the economic outlook appeared unchanged since policymakers met in September, when they lowered interest rates and projected two more this year. “A rate cut in October is done,” said Julia Coronado, founder of the research firm MacroPolicy Perspectives and a former Fed economist. “Nothing has changed the perspective that there’s still downside risks to the labor market.” Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's Joe speaks with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. President Donald Trump pressed world leaders gathered at a summit on Gaza’s future to ensure the US-led truce between Israel and Hamas turns into a lasting peace, hailing the agreement as a “new beginning” for the war-torn region. “Today, for the first time anyone can remember, we have a once-in-a-lifetime chance to put the old feuds and bitter hatreds behind us,” Trump said in the Egyptian resort town of Sharm El-Sheikh.” “Together we’re going to forge a magnificent, great and enduring peace.” Trump’s whirlwind trip, which also included a stop in Israel, heightened optimism for ending the two-year-long war between Israel and Hamas. “Together, we’ve achieved what everybody said was impossible. At long last we have peace in the Middle East,” Trump said. “Now the rebuilding begins.” Yet the nascent ceasefire remains fragile, with many key details left to be worked out. Trump said food and aid has begun to flow into Gaza, which has been devastated by the conflict. “Numerous countries of great wealth” have pledged reconstruction funds, Trump added, though he did not name them. Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition, Joe and Kailey speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

With President Donald Trump vowing to pay the military on Oct. 15, the lack of a pressure point to bring Congress together to resolve the US government shutdown led Bloomberg Intelligence's Washington Policy Pulse on Oct. 13. The next major catalyst, in our view, would be if Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) benefits run out at the end of the month, potentially impacting grocers like Walmart, Kroger and Albertsons. We also discussed the latest in Trump's threat to place tariffs on China, as well as an update on deposit insurance legislation, which could increase costs for banks like JPMorgan and Bank of America. The Bloomberg Intelligence Financial Policy weekly call is designed to provide investors an opportunity to learn about the most recent relevant policy research, information regarding forthcoming political catalysts and other on-goings within Washington D.C. The call is open to all and is held every Monday at 10:00 a.m. EST. You can register for the call here: https://bloomberg.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN__PqCkwY-S2m3hbQqvVC1_Q#/registration See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Watch Joe and Kailey LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF. US President Donald Trump threatened a “massive increase” of tariffs on goods from China and to cancel an upcoming meeting with the country’s leader, Xi Jinping, citing recent “hostile” export controls Beijing placed on rare-earth minerals. “I was to meet President Xi in two weeks, at APEC, in South Korea, but now there seems to be no reason to do so,” Trump posted Friday on social media. The president added that one form of retaliation the US is considering “is a massive increase of Tariffs on Chinese products coming into the United States of America,” adding that “there are many other countermeasures that are, likewise, under serious consideration.” Bloomberg Washington Correspondents Joe Mathieu and Kailey Leinz deliver insight and analysis on the latest headlines from the White House and Capitol Hill, including conversations with influential lawmakers and key figures in politics and policy. On this edition Bloomberg's Michelle Jamrisko is in for Kailey. Joe and Michelle speak with: See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.