Unhedged

First Brands Group, a roll-up of car parts manufacturers, is preparing a bankruptcy filing after amassing as much as $10bn in debt. And last week, Tricolor, a subprime auto loan lender, ran into trouble. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin ask if we are at a turning point in credit markets. Also they go long collective nouns for groups of canaries. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The dollar is down almost 10 per cent since the beginning of the year. Yes, it has fallen from a very strong position, but the drop might also reflect growing international unease about the direction of American institutions of government. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin discuss the weakening of the dollar, and how traders are betting on it. Also, they go short not having joined a hedge fund and short a cup of matcha. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This week, President Donald Trump suggested that companies only report earnings twice a year. This would be a significant change to how markets in the US operate. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin ask, is it a good idea? Also, they go short smart glasses and long empty nesting. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

With interest rates high, private equity has had a harder time finding investors … and making money. To solve this problem, the industry has found novel ways to avoid closing their funds. But time may be running out. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong talk to the FT’s US private equity editor Antoine Gara about how private equity is going to have to turn its homework in eventually. Also they go long Robert Redford and long advisory firms that specialize in cleaning up messes made by private equity. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The annual jobs numbers are in. And they have been revised down by 911,000 positions. But in a quickly changing economy, with many laborers literally leaving the country, what does that mean? Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter discuss the new landscape of employment in the US, and what it might mean for interest rates. Also they go long a new richest man in the world and long tweed. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

2025 has been a chaotic year, with seemingly random tariffs, the reduction of the labour force, the partial nationalisation of major companies and a looming hostile takeover of the long independent Federal Reserve. Before a live audience at Kenwood House in London, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong try to understand which markets are responding to all this self-generated chaos, and why. Also they go long champagne and short gold. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Central banks have been around for hundreds of years. But they haven’t always done the same thing. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong talk to Brendan Greeley, a former FT reporter, about the changing role of the Federal Reserve. Greeley is the author of the forthcoming The Almighty Dollar. Also, they go long internships at XTX and short private credit. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Valuations are high. Employment is down. The Federal Reserve is under attack. For many market watchers, this looks a lot like a recipe for disaster. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin discuss the case for a collapse. Also, they go long the UK and long September. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The Trump administration has again extended its control over the US economy, now taking a 10 per cent stake in the chip manufacturer Intel. Control of the means of production is a foundational tenet of socialism and Marxism, but the Republican party remains silent. Today on the show, Katie Martin and US managing editor Brooke Masters ask, “What the hell?” Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The annual meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, is supposed to be an intellectual retreat. Instead, it was overshadowed by personal and political attacks on US Federal Reserve board member Lisa Cook. Today on the show, Katie Martin talks to US economics editor Claire Jones about her reporting from Jackson Hole and what might happen if the central bank falls under the president’s control. Also, we attempt to go long and short but are interrupted by a fire alarm. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

US markets reporter George Steer has been tracking stocks that have soared, then crashed. Some of them might be “pump and dumps”, an old-fashioned style of scam where insiders generate excitement, along with sales of a stock, selling them when the price rises. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong grill Steer about the schemes. Also, they go long envy and Labubus, and short pepperoni grease. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Eight of the 10 biggest stocks in the S&P 500 are technology stocks, and tech as a sector represents 40 per cent of the value of the index. Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong ask if this is a warning sign of a structurally weak market. Also they go long defensive stocks and churches on wheels. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

As the US president upends the global order, and consolidates power, markets keep climbing. Does it make any sense? Today on the show, Katie Martin and Rob Armstrong speak with Gideon Rachman, the FT’s chief foreign affairs commentator. They try to understand where Trumpism sits between democracy and authoritarianism, and what that means for the US economy. Also, they go long bardcore, cheap watches and controversial fashion. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

President Donald Trump has just installed loyalists at the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Federal Reserve. The idea is to ensure good news and low interest rates. Today on the show, Katie Martin and the FT’s Economics commentator, Chris Giles, ask what effect these personnel changes might have for the economy. Also they go long doctorates and long Mauritius. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, we're sharing an episode from our fellow FT podcast, Swamp Notes. The US president is angry with the chair of the Federal Reserve over interest rates. He’s applying a lot of pressure on Jay Powell to lower them or leave his job. The FT’s Claire Jones and Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, break down what will happen if Trump succeeds in either of those goals. This episode originally aired on July 26. Subscribe to Swamp Notes on Acast, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Pocket Casts or wherever you get your podcasts. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today, we're bringing you an episode from our fellow FT podcast, The Economics Show. The US dollar has been in slow decline for around a decade – so says Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard professor, and former chief economist of the IMF. Donald Trump’s trade policies have raised a lot of questions about the future of the dollar – and how its decline could affect the rest of the world’s currencies. Rogoff joins Martin Wolf to discuss how the decline of the dollar could empower China, capital flight from the US, and why cryptocurrency is a bigger threat to dollar hegemony than most people realise. Martin Wolf is chief economics commentator at the Financial Times. You can find his column here: https://www.ft.com/martin-wolf Subscribe to The Economics Show on Apple, Spotify, Pocket Casts or wherever you listen. Presented by Martin Wolf. Produced by Mischa Frankl-Duval. Manuela Saragosa is the executive producer. Original music and sound design by Breen Turner. The FT’s head of audio is Cheryl Brumley. Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On Tuesday, the American railroad giant Union Pacific announced its intention to buy Norfolk Southern, promising to fulfill Abraham Lincoln’s dream of a transcontinental railroad. Today on the show, the FT’s deals correspondent Oliver Barnes joins Rob Armstrong to talk about whether President Donald Trump will make or break the deal. Also, we go short cafe cars and long shorts in the office. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Experts agree: When it comes to tariffs, Europe just got trounced. So did the American consumer, who will pay these taxes. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Ben Hall, the FT’s Europe editor, discuss the terms of the deal, and why Europe didn’t retaliate. Also they go long US oil production and short the long-term health of American manufacturing. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

When Republicans won the White House and both houses of Congress last fall, mergers and acquisitions bankers celebrated. But when President Donald Trump took office, M&A stagnated. Today on the show, the FT’s Wall Street editor Sujeet Indap tells Aiden Reiter why that may be changing, with big deals pending on everything from railroads to media conglomerates. Also, they go long Scottie Scheffler and short Japan. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Today on the show, Aiden Reiter talks with Lex editor John Foley about three things to watch this summer: 24-hour trading, tech earnings and Tesla’s new approach to robotaxis. Also, they go short Bank Holidays, and long properly measuring GDP. For more on 24-hour trading, check out Jennifer Hughes’ guest appearance on the FT’s Behind the Money podcast. Link here. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer. You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.